Schroedinger’s Candidate

Wow. When all is said and done, this is going to be an eye-popping 70,000 voter Democratic primary. Even my early, sometimes ridiculed guess of 60,000 was too low – and its a sign that there weren’t nearly the numbers of undecideds the campaign ID calls suggested.

And its not over yet. In fact, this thing could well get tighter. According to VPR, two of the towns that aren’t in yet are not small potatoes: St. Albans Town and St. Albans City, both of which Racine will probably outperform Shumlin in (via Norsehorse in the comments, vtdigger is reporting that the towns yet to come in are Alburg, Brighton, Brookfield, Burke, Cabot, Canaan, Dover, East Haven, Enosburg, Granville, Guildhall, Hancock, Lemington, Middlesex, New Haven, Newfane, Pawlet, Plymouth, Reading, Rochester, Shaftsbury, St. Albans City, St. Albans Town, Tunbridge, Wells, Westfield, Weston, Whiting and Williamstown – there are towns in there that lean both towards Shumlin and Racine, but it’s probably a good bet based on last night’s results that there’ll be an edge towards Racine overall).

Who knows? Perhaps Shumlin and Racine should both show up to the Thursday debate and alternate answering questions.

10 thoughts on “Schroedinger’s Candidate

  1. I mean, it is kind of heartbreaking that you can be 4% off the lead and that’s only good enough for 4th place.

  2. If you compare the AP numbers (w/232 reporting) with the Times Argus ones (234 reporting), the two new towns are Middlesex and East Haven. The additional votes for Dunne, Racine, Shumlin and Bartlett in the TA count match their Middlesex returns exactly (which bags the question: did no one in East Haven vote? It’s only got 300 people, but still…).

    For Markowitz, the TA has her picking up 417 from those two towns. They also say she got 147 votes in Middlesex. Long story short, Markowitz didn’t actually pick up 250+ votes between 232 and 234, she really picked up 20 on Racine and 54 on Shumlin.

    AP count: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/f

    TA count: http://timesargus.com/article/

    TA Middlesex returns: http://www.timesargus.com/arti

  3. we have to vote for a Gov and Lt. Gov. in the primary. Would have been interesting to see who #1 would be, then he / she could have worked on a coalition or consensus to pick his / her #2 (or simply accepted the 2nd place finisher if #2 opted in). We’d then have a ticket…

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