The Dunne Election Wave: Will it Be in Time?

All of a sudden it’s Lite Gov-Lite Gov-Lite Gov everywhere you look. Freyne’s column leads with the race, Philip has set the week aside for Dubie-trouncing, and Matt Dunne is in the headlines.

There are several elements converging to create a perfect storm heading for the Doobster:

  • Positive polls for the US Representative race are making Democrats feel more cautiously confident, and that optimism is electorally cross-pollenating.
  • The Parker campaign is energizing the grassroots, and the Dunne field operation is well situated to plug into that energy.
  • The debates have finally begun, and Dubie was right to be scared to face Dunne – in addition, his obvious fear has itself become an issue.
  • Staff turnover in Dunne-land, where former Vermonters First blogger and veteran of the first Schweitzer campaign in Montana Adam Quinn is now steering the ship. I’ve worked with Adam, and his first impulse is to be very aggressive – an impulse he very much held in check while on the Clavelle campaign. Don’t expect him to hold back after that experience, especially with only a week-and-a-half to go.

Meanwhile, Dubie – up to this point widely assumed to be cruising to an easy victory – has approvals only in the low 40s, and his flaccid re-election campaign, which has been dominated by his hide-from-Dunne-whenever-possible strategy, is perhaps best summed up by this screenshot from his campaign website (below the fold):

No news stories. No supporters. No interest. Just a single, throwaway “vote for me ’cause I’m already here” press release message. In a combination of laziness, overconfident hubris and fear of engaging on the issues, the Dubie operation is barely even phoning it in.

And lest you think I’m just being Mr. Pep Rally, consider this report from Darren Allen only yesterday that suggests the wave is breaking:

An internal poll conducted on behalf of Democratic Lite Guv candidate Matt Dunne showed that the GOP incumbent, Brian Dubie, is not holding ground.

The poll, conducted within recent days, shows that Dubie still has a comfortable 15 point lead over Dunne. But going beyond that, Dubie failed to garner the support of 50 percent of those polled.

Dubie polled 44 percent, Dunne 29 percent and Prog Marvin Malek 4 percent, leaving nearly a quarter fo the electorate undecided.

Allen adds that we’re about to see some of the money Dunne has raised in the form of an ad blitz in the waning days of the campaign season.

Of course, nobody’s doing any polling to back up these internal campaign reports, but anecdotally at least, the momentum seems consistent with what we’ve all been witnessing. The question lingering is whether or not the breaking wave has time to make it to the beach before Election Day, now a matter of days away.

Dunne’s campaign has sleeper victory written all over it. Get involved:

Contribute.
Volunteer.

Observations on the Washington County Senate Race

(There’s gonna be more local race talk in the next few days, and JD kicks us off very nicely… – promoted by odum)

Disclaimer: I’m working for candidate Donny Osman. In the interest of not propagandizing for my candidate, I’d just like to share with you some observations I’ve seen at two of the recent candidate forums, in Waitsfield last week and Montpelier last night. I’m not going to get into bashing anyone. The six candidates are Bill Doyle (R-inc.), Phil Scott (R-inc), Ann Cummings (D-inc), Kim Cheney (D), Jim Parker (R), and Donny Osman (D).

The forums have covered a wide variety of topics, from energy policy to, of course, the property tax. A few observations…

Only one candidate is on that ‘repeal and revolt’ bandwagon in regards to the property tax(Parker). I don’t think that’s selling too well outside the gold towns.

Curiously, civil unions, gay marriage, gender discrimination and abortion haven’t come up at the forums.

The most distinctive party-line split I could see was in regards to nuclear energy. All of the Dems had severe reservations about it, and didn’t support it. The Repubs all support it to one extent or another.

All of the candidates seem to come out in favor of wind power and weaning ourselves of fossil fuels, and none are in denial about global warming.

Healthcare was all over the map, on one end a full and vocal support of universal healthcare as a right (Osman), with market based solutions on the other end (Parker).

Curiously, all candidates stated in both debates that they believe the ‘War on Drugs’ has been a complete failure, and all came out in support of more rehabilitation and education as opposed to more law enforcement.

School vouchers seemed to be a party-line split as well, with mixed levels of support on the Repub side and the opposite on the Dem side.

All in all, this race is really hard to call. I wouldn’t say there’s any idealogues running , but within the candidates there is a classic progressive-liberal on one end and a somewhat conservative free-market Repub on the other, with varying shades in between. I do know which candidate is going to come in 6th, but other than that, I have no idea how this will turn out; there are so many factors.. the possible filtering down of the Democratic wave sweeping the country (which Phil Scott has acknowledged on more than one occasion), Osman’s unabashed progressivism which has been missing from Wash. Cty. races in the past and seems to be resonating with a lot of people, the Doyle factor (the man’s been in there forever – will it work for or against him this time?), and this is also Kim Cheney’s 4th run for senate. Alas, there are no polls to give us a clue.

I’ve met all of the candidates, and found them all to be nice, decent people to varying degrees, and it shows in the manner of decor and lack of personal attacks in this campaign. It’s good to know the venom of the national level (and also creeping into the statewide level) is nonexistent at our local level.

There’s another candidate’s forum on Thursday evening(26th) at the Worcester Grange Hall. I haven’t been able to find out what time, but if I do, I’ll post it.

I’ve learned quite a bit about Vermont politcs since getting on board the Osman campaign in the capacity of tactics and strategy. I’ll share some of it with you after the election.

you can read more of JD Ryan at Five Before Chaos

Here’s One Way “Libertarian Democrats” Are Born

Rep. Barney Frank (D-MA) reminds us what many “enlightened” Republicans – as well as many live-and-let-live Independents who tend to lean to GOP candidates – would find it convenient to forget; that the one-party rule in Washington is moving us rapidly back to the outright re-criminalization of homosexuality. And that this is a goal that could come to fruition (enabled by spineless, hypocritical gay Republicans) in the next two years if there isn’t a change of power in congress.

Think it’s hyperbole? Just listen to the clip below from Bill Maher’s show as Frank makes mincemeat of GOP mouthpiece Stephen Moore (thanks to Bill in Portland Maine and Firedoglake).

Resons to Reject Republicans

PRESS RELEASE – for immediate release

For more info: 802-882-1967 or 202-370-6653

Senate Candidate creates search engine to catalog Republican sins

Warren, Vermont

October 24, 2006

Reference: Reasons to Reject Republicans

Steven Moyer, an independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in Vermont, has created a web search engine to collect information on Republican crimes, misdeeds and unethical behavior.  The search engine is called “Reasons to Reject Republicans”  and includes links to articles on the web as well as videos at YouTube and Google Video. Moyer’s goal is raise awareness of Republican misdeeds by archiving at least 1,000 records of information by the time of the election.

“I’m fed up with the Republican party,”  said Moyer. “They have done so many evil deeds that I’ve lost count, so I started this database to raise public awareness and hold them accountable.”  The database allows any visitor to enter information including links to web sites, videos and audio files. It can be searched by keyword like Google and other web search engines. 

Each entry includes a “reason” to reject Republicans, a 50-word maximum summary statement, and a category.  Categories include “cronyism, false Christianity, greed,  incompetence, excessive secrecy, propaganda, bribery, corruption, graft, militarism, and war profiteering.” 

Users can add their own categories and include up to 32,000 characters of additional text ( 6,000 words ) with each entry, as well as a quote and three links to web resources ( web pages, video and audio files ).

“The Republican party has crossed the line of acceptable political behavior,” said Moyer.  “I want the Republican party to go away … forever!”  Moyer believes that one of the worst Republican evils  has been the war in Iraq. “The Republicans conspired to create an aggressive war for the purpose of capital
  conquest.  That’s not just a bad idea —  it’s evil!”  Moyer also believes that Republicans have stolen several  of the recent elections with “black box” voting machines and voter intimidation techniques. 

“We need to throw these people out of government at every level. I want a landslide rejection of the entire Republican party at every level of government.  We need a new kind of politics based on virtues, like honesty, compassion and justice, rather than deceit, division and domination.”

The database and search engine is located at  http://reason.stevem… 

  Moyer plans to allow visitors to e-mail searches from the database to their friends.  He also plans to offer the entire database on CD-ROM to those who want to collaborate by running the program on their web site and sharing the data in an open-data, open-source network.

  “Political networks are the wave of the future.  Political parties are the dinosaurs of the past. In the future, many of the functions of democratic government will be accomplished using the Internet.  But first we need to reject the Republicans because they have lost their virtue and done great damage to the nation, our democracy and the world at large.”

Moyer is responsible for the first online copy of a statewide voter registration database which he claims is the “logical starting point” of an Internet Democracy.  The Vermont Democracy Network is located at http://vermont.steve…

###

REPUBLICANUS EUNT DOMUS

Your complete GOP election information clearinghouse, courtesy of Chris Bowers at MyDD.

–AZ-Sen: Jon Kyl

–AZ-01: Rick Renzi

–AZ-05: J.D. Hayworth

–CA-04: John Doolittle

–CA-11: Richard Pombo

–CA-50: Brian Bilbray

–CO-04: Marilyn Musgrave

–CO-05: Doug Lamborn

–CO-07: Rick O’Donnell

–CT-04: Christopher Shays

–FL-13: Vernon Buchanan

–FL-16: Joe Negron
–FL-22: Clay Shaw
–ID-01: Bill Sali

–IL-06: Peter Roskam

–IL-10: Mark Kirk

–IL-14: Dennis Hastert

–IN-02: Chris Chocola

–IN-08: John Hostettler

–IA-01: Mike Whalen

–KS-02: Jim Ryun
–KY-03: Anne Northup

–KY-04: Geoff Davis

–MD-Sen: Michael Steele

–MN-01: Gil Gutknecht

–MN-06: Michele Bachmann

–MO-Sen: Jim Talent

–MT-Sen: Conrad Burns

–NV-03: Jon Porter

–NH-02: Charlie Bass

–NJ-07: Mike Ferguson

–NM-01: Heather Wilson

–NY-03: Peter King

–NY-20: John Sweeney

–NY-26: Tom Reynolds

–NY-29: Randy Kuhl

–NC-08: Robin Hayes

–NC-11: Charles Taylor

–OH-01: Steve Chabot

–OH-02: Jean Schmidt

–OH-15: Deborah Pryce

–OH-18: Joy Padgett

–PA-04: Melissa Hart

–PA-07: Curt Weldon

–PA-08: Mike Fitzpatrick

–PA-10: Don Sherwood

–RI-Sen: Lincoln Chafee
–TN-Sen: Bob Corker

–VA-Sen: George Allen

–VA-10: Frank Wolf

–WA-Sen: Mike McGavick
–WA-08: Dave Reichert

In this world of sin and sorrow there is always something to be thankful for; as for me, I rejoice that I am not a Republican.
-H.L.Mencken

CA-28: Green versus Democrat

Crossposted from My Left Wing

I had the distinct pleasure of meeting and speaking at length with a candidate for congress last weekend. As it happens, he is challenging the incumbent in my district — Howard Berman, a Democrat. His name is Byron DeLear, and he’s running as a member of the Green Party, while pledging to vote with the Democrats in the House.

After much consideration and study of the issues, however, I have to say that, despite DeLear’s charismatic persona and, admittedly, near-perfect stances on the issues about which I care the most, I will still be voting for Howard Berman this year.

Berman regrets voting for the IWR, but believes, while recognising the irony, that we cannot leave now without condemning Iraq to total annihilation.

I disagree STRONGLY with that conclusion, but frankly, despite his serious shortcomings in this and a few other areas, I have to say my earlier opinion of Howard Berman still stands: he votes the right way (MY way) more consistently than almost any other elected Democrat in Congress.

Given that, however, I still think Byron DeLear is a terrific candidate; I just wish he were challenging an incumbent Republican… as a Democrat.

Yeah, yeah, I know — the Democrats suck. I do not dispute this. But realistically speaking, the fact remains that a third party vote from a progressive still means one less for the LESS sucky candidate, which is almost always the Democrat.

The lesser of two evils is still evil, yes — but it’s LESS evil.

See how I did that? Held two opposing views in my head at the same time? Now, is that the mark of genius, or of madness?

Below, some endorsements of DeLear and an embedded video — because I believe in fair play and equal time.

Marcy Winograd Endorses Byron De Lear for Congress

Marcy Winograd, Democratic Congressional Candidate who ran against Rep. Jane Harman (39th CD-CA), and who generated 40 percent of the vote, endorsed Byron De Lear, Green Party candidate running in the 28th District against Howard Berman.

“This is going to change the demographics of the campaign. Having a major Democratic challenger and outstanding activist like Marcy Winograd endorse a Green is making major political history,” said Eugene Hernandez of Latinos for De Lear.

Marcy Winograd said in a statement Wednesday,

“I am proud to endorse Byron DeLear, a candidate with the courage to challenge the masters of war.  We need to take back Congress with a commitment to peaceful conflict resolution, not blind loyalty to a failed Iraq war policy.  Byron DeLear represents a clear alternative to those who continue to support the Bush administration’s death march. Let us vote our conscience; let us vote for Byron DeLear.”

Winograd joins numerous other progressives of all political stripes who have given the De Lear for Congress campaign their endorsment.

“What this means is that thousands upon thousands of Democratic voters who are anti-war, progressive and for change will switch their vote from Howard Berman to Byron De Lear. This is part of the Joe Lieberman effect and also due to the public’s distrust of Congress”, explained Eugene Hernandez. “Polls after polls show that the American public is fed up with Congress. They have failed to pass significant legislation on spying, immigration, ending the war and the economy. This translates into success for sending the First Green to Congress.”

“I am a life long Democrat, and a member of the Democratic Party- but, just as I do not back my country, right or wrong, when it defies the Constitution and international law, I cannot unthinkingly back my Party when its members enable, through action or inaction, our country’s current nightmare.

My own Congressman is one of those who is not only not part of the solution, but part of the problem. Byron De Lear stands in contrast to our incumbent as a shining example of how I would want my Representative to represent me. He would bring needed vision to the rigidity of endless war as our solution in the Mideast, and would make us instantly safer by reflecting the CIA’s assessment that our presence in Iraq is only making more terrorists. Byron is a strong activist who would make a brilliant public servant- one who for the first time in years would represent what the 28th District believes. I’m proud to endorse Byron De Lear for Congress.”

Michael Jay
Representative from the California Election Protection Network, Progressive Democrats of America

10 Minute Documentary for the Byron De Lear for Congress Campaign in California

It covers the Iraqi War, the Lieberman-Berman connection and their continued support of the war, global warming, corporate-handled government, gerrymandering and Rep. Howard Berman’s support of NAFTA and his attempt to remove term limits from the White House.

What I couldn’t help noticing in all these endorsements and in all the statements from DeLear and others is that, aside from his continued “support” for our presence in Iraq and an unsavory relationship with the music industry in their fight against file sharing, there is virtually nothing that supports the assertion that Berman isn’t liberal enough (for lack of a better phrase). I happen to disagree, violently, with his position on Iraq — and am ambivalent about file sharing. But his voting record is essentially unassailable.

I have often remarked that I couldn’t ask for a better representative in Congress — an exaggeration, to be sure. Of course I could. I could ask for one who votes my way every single time. But that’s ludicrous. And despite my deep, painfully deep belief that the only solution in Iraq is our LEAVING it, immediately, I cannot in good conscience vote against a representative who holds an opposite view in that one instance, when he so often does exactly what I WOULD wish him to do.

I guess what I’d really like to know, which I didn’t have time to bring up when speaking with DeLear this weekend, is why he didn’t challenge Berman in the primary. Or did he? Somehow, I doubt that DeLear is the type to party-hop. Which is a pity, really — because, short of instituting run-off voting, the only way the further left candidates will find their way to congress is by challenging Democrats in the primaries — as Democrats.

I’d vote for Byron DeLear in a heartbeat if he were running as a Democrat, in any primary and general election. I just think it’s a waste to run as a Green Party candidate, to put all this time and energy into trying to make a third party viable when the hegemony of the two party system is so obviously invincible without significant changes — namely, instant runoff voting. Without that safeguard, I cannot imagine, in my lifetime, a circumstance where a third party vote from a liberal does not translate to a de facto vote for the Republican. And that is unacceptable to me.

The good thing about Wal-mart

( – promoted by odum)

There are not a lot of positive things we can say about Wal-mart. The giant retailer is known for building huge stores that sell everything from groceries to garden supplies, from tools to electronics, all under one roof and at low prices. They have now extended their low prices to a select number of generic drugs that insurance companies and the uninsured alike can purchase for just $4 for a 30-day supply.

Those low prices to the consumer come at a cost. Wal-mart buys in such huge quantities that they can pressure suppliers to sell at lower prices. The suppliers in turn pressure manufacturers, who some how must find a way to make products cheaper.
The result is lower wages. Wal-mart offers health insurance to full-time employees yet has a disproportionately high number of part time employees. Their quest for lower wholesale prices force manufacturers to keep wages down and even build factories overseas to meet Wal-mart’s demands.
Their model is so successful that a suburban mega-store has been the death knell for many downtown-shopping areas. Small, traditional retailers find it impossible to compete on price. While some are able to sell service, personality and/or unique items, the demise of average shops next door decrease the amount of foot traffic and turn a thriving collection of shops into a wasteland of empty buildings.
The company is a paragon of capitalism – there is little humanity in their calculations save for the occasional gesture that plays well in the press. We as a nation are grateful for these gestures.
Their mobilization of supplies to relieve the suffering of Hurricane Katrina refugees is a good illustration. They responded with critical supplies much faster than our government agencies; bringing food, water and medical supplies quickly to thousands of suddenly homeless people.
Their $4 prescription program is another necessary, much less altruistic gesture that will help the disadvantaged, the uninsured and the sick.
Wal-Mart last month announced that some company pharmacies would sell 30-day prescriptions of certain generic medications for $4 in 65 Wal-Mart, Sam’s Club and Neighborhood Market pharmacies around Tampa, Fla., with plans to expand statewide in early 2007. They held open the possibility of expanding to other states in the future.
The program must have had a ring of marketing genius because Wal-mart announced Oct. 19 they would expand the generic prescription drug discount program to 14 additional states, including Vermont.
Like the owners of other small businesses crushed by the power of Wal-mart, Vermont pharmacists are apoplectic over the announcement. They can see the writing on the wall, yet another huge competitor is going to cut into their share of customers.
Analysts said the main benefit for Wal-Mart is in drawing more shoppers into its stores who may come for prescriptions and then stay to buy in other departments, a public relations stunt meant to drive foot traffic.
Most people will find their prescriptions do not fall under the $4 plan because only 1 percent of the drugs Wal-mart sells are covered.
That’s not Wal-mart’s fault. When a prescription sells for $250 for a thirty-day supply the pharmacists aren’t going out to buy Rolexes and luxury cars. The pharmaceutical companies are collecting the lion’s share of the money, leaving pharmacies to survive on slim (and shrinking) profit margins.
This again is the capitalist system at work. Pharmaceutical companies are beholden only to their shareholders by law and they must turn a profit to satisfy those investors, in addition to recovering their costs for drug development and an increasing propensity of slick advertising.
All of this supports the fact that Wal-mart is doing exactly as they should in our profit-derived, expansionist society – increasing their market share by taking advantage of the free press that comes from making news.
The fact that they stumbled on to a plan that helps both insurance companies and the uninsured by lowering the cost of some drugs is beside the point.
Our question is why, at a time of increasing health care costs that inflate taxes and allegedly burden business beyond the ability to compete, is the federal government prohibited from negotiating a lower price for these same drugs for veterans and people on Medicare and Medicaid?
For as long as our long memories can recall, people who rail against big government have cried that if only our government were run like a business, then the waste would whither away.
A result of the prescription drug plan passed last year is that we, the people, are prohibited from being like Wal-mart. Instead, we have to wait until Wal-mart finds it in their best interest to throw us a crumb.
At least they have demonstrated what is possible in negotiating  a quantity price for generic drugs.

Is George Bush on Every Ballot This Year?

[This is my second column for the Vermont Journal that appeared last week. I’m still getting the hang of this print medium thing, frankly, and this one kinda blew. The one coming out this Wednesday is a bit better… I’m working on it.]

Two years ago, Democratic Gubernatorial candidate Peter Clavelle was taken to task by the media for attempting to draw connections between Governor Jim Douglas and the already widely unpopular (in Vermont, anyway) administration of President Bush. Burlington’s True Majority organization crystallized the argument with the “Jim=George” lawn signs that popped up here and there across central Vermont.

Many considered this line of attack to be part of the reason for Clavelle’s electoral pummeling, but when you hear current Democratic candidate Scudder Parker making the same connections, you aren’t hearing the same dismissive response from Vermont’s fourth estate.

To an extent, it’s because many in the state approach elections this year as one big circus show with several rings. There’s Bernie vs. Tarrant over in that corner, Dubie vs. Dunne across the way, and our local state House and Senate candidates scattered about – but all still under one big top. It was inevitable, therefore, that with the high profile race for US Representative, the Bush factor would be brought into the general arena in a way that it wasn’t two years ago.

But it’s more than that. If it weren’t, Parker’s criticisms of Douglas’s Bush connections (he was Bush’s Vermont re-election campaign chairman in 2004) wouldn’t be resonating at all.

The fact is that national politics are on everyone’s mind in a way that they weren’t two years ago. With Iraq falling into Civil War, terrorism a greater threat than it was on 9/11, and corruption and moral hypocrisy reaching never before seen levels in Washington, it’s hard not to be thinking about the state of our union.

Iraq in particular has become an electoral catalyst. With 64% of Americans firmly against it now (and no doubt even more dramatic numbers in Vermont), the war is effecting people’s local electoral decision making in two ways.

First, it is causing eyebrows to rise at any direct connection to Bush and the Washington Republicans. Martha Rainville’s campaign has been one steady defensive attempt to create distance from this crowd, but her financial and institutional connections run too deep for her to convincingly cast herself as an independent operator.

It’s also no coincidence that the battle for Governor only caught fire when Douglas foolishly used his connections to the Washington GOP in a very public way to kill the Wilderness bill, and in doing so cast himself in opposition to Senator Leahy, Senator Jeffords, and Congressman Sanders – the virtual Holy Trinity of national anti-Bush sentiment.

Most significantly, it is feeding the anger and cynicism of self-identified independent voters as they look at the political parties as a group from the outside. Independents have abandoned Democrats in the past because of a judgment that they don’t stand for anything. While hard-pressed to shake that impression, shifting poll numbers suggest that independents are now forming a collective impression of those who willingly self-identify as candidates of this President’s party as well; that they stand for something both dangerous and foolish.

This could put anyone with an R alongside their name at any level at risk, as a vote for a Republican becomes seen as a vote to institutionally enable those whose disastrous policies have put our nation at greater risk.

This election and its unique climate will test the axiom that Vermonters vote the candidate rather than the party, like never before. Whether it makes sense or not, many voters cast their ballot based on what’s on their mind and what’s in their gut. The Governor knows this well, which is why he has tried to loudly shift the conversation towards taxes in these waning weeks.

Tip O’Neill is famously quoted as saying “all politics is local.” One has to wonder, looking at the world and the issues on everyone’s mind, if the reciprocal hasn’t become the case this year – that all local politics have become national.

What to Make of Douglas’s Comments

In case you missed it (from the Times Argus):

Gov. James Douglas said he is “disgusted” with the behavior of his fellow Republicans in Washington, asserting that both Congress and the White House are out of touch with Vermont and the rest of the country.

In his most forceful comments against the Republican Party since becoming governor four years ago, the life-long GOP stalwart said that he would like to see a change in his party’s leadership in the House of Representatives, suggesting that current House Speaker Dennis Hastert should be replaced should the Republicans retain their edge in the chamber.

So what to make of this from he, who famously spoke the words “aren’t we lucky to have George W. Bush in the White House” with Darth Cheney at his side? Certainly he has taken positions the White House would prefer he didn’t, but usually only when he feels a need to control the conversation, as with his action on the NSA wiretapping issue. Scudder Parker came out strong, so within a few days Douglas trumped him by coming out with similar rhetoric and putting some of the muscle of the executive behind it (if Douglas does get re-elected, it’ll be interesting if he drops his efforts to force accountability on the issue, as the Bush administration has demanded).

Bud I digress. On the rhetoric at hand, logic suggests four possibilities only (on the flip):

1. His words are sincere.

2. Parker is getting traction in Douglas’s internal polling and this is a counter-move.

3. Douglas is looking to the next election, and rather than play it safe, wants to crush Parker at the ballot box as he did Clavelle to scare off any A-list challengers in future elections.

4. Some combination of the above.

In the absolute sense, we’re probably looking at #4. Like most other Republicans, Douglas is probably trying to figure out what the hell the neocons have been thinking. Still (and this shows in his phrasing), his critique is one on method and style rather than policy. 

The truth, of course, is – as anyone who knows anything about Vermont issues and has looked at Douglas’s history even casually will tell you – that his opinions and approaches ebb and flow with the political winds. He is a master of having it both ways in every argument, in no small part due to his rather shameless penchant for taking credit for the work of others – even when he himself oppsed that same work tooth and nail (in this way, he’s been doing the Bush administrations Homeland Security Department trick since the pre-Bush era, while in other state offices). Given this history, it’s hard to think #1 is at play in any meaningful way. More likely that this isn’t anything other than banking soundbites that he can refer back to in future debates.

#2 sounds nice, but based on the recent SUSA poll, it’s not too likely.

So my money is on #3. Grain of truth to #1 or no, I believe Douglas and his team want to crush his second challenger in as many cycles to send a loud and clear message to the Shumlins, Markowitzs and Symingtons of the Vermont Democratic politcal scene;

Don’t even think about it.

Whatever the reason, going forward with such rhetoric puts GOP COngressional candidate Martha Rainville at extreme risk. Although Douglas sprinked her liberally throughout his remarks in an attempt to innoculate her from any increase to the anti-national-GOP fire that is fueling Peter Welch’s campaign, the truth is it is a feeble attempt at best. Trying to control any damage, GOP State Chair Jim Barnett sounded even worse:

“I, too, am embarrassed by certain individuals in our party, just as Democrats should be embarrassed by members of their party,” Barnett said. “The problem is that too many members of both parties have shamed themselves and shamed Congress, and that’s why we need to elect a different kind of person, not a career politician who looks at Congress as one more stepping stone on an ambitious career path.”

Weak, at best. Try as they may to spin it otherwise, Douglas’s speech does Rainville no favors – which also sends a message to potential future candidates for statewide office, but in this case Republican ones:

The Governor looks out for the Governor. Douglas’s help is only there inasmuch as it’s consistent with his own goals.

This is one political Kingpin who plays by his own rules.

Hope in Franklin County

( – promoted by odum)

A funny thing happened at Democratic Headquarters in Franklin County today.

I was there volunteering when a 40-something woman came in and said she wanted some lawn signs. She took signs for virtually every candidate from the top of the ticket on down to local candidates … except Scudder’s.

“No,” she said, “I won’t put a minister’s sign on my lawn. I don’t want religion anywhere near my government.”

“If you knew Scudder,” I explained, “you’d know he’s not the kind of guy who would make religion an issue. Besides, he was a minister a while ago, he’s had other jobs since then. And even when he was a minister, it was for a fairly liberal church.”

“Ah,” she replied, “but I was at a Democratic fundraiser last year and he opened it with a prayer. I just can’t do it, even though it was the kind of prayer that I agreed with.”

“Are there any other concerns?” I asked.

“What’s his stance on abortion?” she queried. “Absolutely and resolutely pro-choice,” I truthfully replied.

“What about gay rights, gay marriage?” she persisted. “Scudder believes in equality for everyone,” I answered her back. “Scudder was at Gay Pride in Burlington last july. I was there. He promised, out loud, from the stage, that if the legislature passes a gay marriage bill and a gender identity non-discrimination bill, he would sign them.”

She was relieved! But still, she could not make peace with displaying a Scudder lawn sign. She left with her hands full of all the other signs, and I went back to helping with data entry.

Five minutes later, she was back.

“Okay,” she sighed. “You’ve convinced me. I’ll take two Scudder signs.”

You’ve got to know something about Franklin County to understand just how unusual that interaction was. You’ve got to remember that the good citizens of Franklin County booed legislators off the stage when they came to talk about civil unions. You’ve got to also know that Rep. Al Perry, a moderately conservative Democrat in the northernmost part of the county (Richford), voted his conscience for civil unions and lost his seat in the backlash election, only to regain it two years later. You’ve got to know how many “Take Back Vermont” and “Take it to the People” signs there were on barns and hay bales from Swanton and Sheldon and Richford to the Chittenden County line and the Lamoille County line, and how life-threatening that felt when driving by them every single day.

There’s hope in Franklin County. There are conventional dairy farmers looking to power their farms with manure-generated methane. There are farmers looking beyond conventional dairy farming to diversified harvests and organic milk. There are people who are passionate about providing and consuming local food as one way to address energy issues. There are candidates who totally get it that the economy of rural counties will increasingly depend on universal broadband access.

And there are 40-something women like this one and 30, 40, 50, 60-something women and men of my acquaintance who want to know for sure that no one will shove their religion down anyone’s throat, that women’s medical decisions must be just as private and government-interference-free as men’s, that all Vermont citizens will be treated equally in housing, healthcare, schools, banks, bars, restaurants, and every other public place. There are many of us here looking to the future. With hope.

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