Dubie buzz: GOP sweats, Douglas says chill, tough internal polls, trouble at home? (and a VPR poll)

On the day before numbers from the recently completed VPR/Mason Dixon poll on the Governor’s race are expected to be released, there’s lots of hubbub in circulation – some reliable, some a bit more sketchy.

In the reliable department, word is that I’m not the only one who reckons that Mr. Dubie is hurting himself with a slash and burn campaign that is devastating his nice guy image – so are Republicans. All across the GOP hierarchy, there are concerns that Dubie has pushed too hard, too aggressively, and with too little regard for the truth, and that it may well be costing him.

Where I was wrong in my earlier piece – and this is where it gets more interesting – is that, according to insiders, Governor Douglas himself is among those urging Dubie to chill out (which blows my own theory that Douglas was in some degree of control of the Dubie campaign). Douglas reportedly expressed concerns that the negativity is distracting from the Secretary of State race and the Lieutenant Governor race, and that it could lead to an across the board backlash.

Turns out there are many people who work for the Governor and are active in his political circles who are still scratching their heads as to why Dubie hired an out-of-state political operative (Corry Bliss) to run his campaign in the first place, given the availability of local GOP election veterans such as Neale Lunderville, Dustin Degree, Kate Mitchell, Denise Casey and others. At the time, Dubie indicated he wanted “the best,” which didn’t go over well at the Republican Party and the Gov’s Office.

Few are happy with Campaign Manager Bliss, who many in the GOP feel has already permanently damaged the tenor of Vermont elections (privately, some in the media are saying the same thing, although they won’t come right out and say that, mired as they are in the false equivalence nonsense they use to shield themselves from the dreaded charge of “liberal bias”). Republican insiders continue to be concerned as Bliss spends unprecedented amounts of money on nasty ads, while allowing Dubie’s debate performances to be increasingly embarrassing.

And (unconfirmable) word is that they have reason to worry; Dubie campaign internal polling reportedly shows his negatives increasing among Vermonters identifying as independents. Think that Pinocchio ad from the Shumlin campaign was tacky? Maybe, but it sure scared the GOP crowd.

What’s even more eyebrow-raising is another rumor that should be taken with a few grains of salt, given the degrees of separation. A political insider sympathetic to the Shumlin campaign (but in no way associated with the Shumlin campaign) indicates that their source within Dubie’s campaign reported that Brian Dubie’s wife is unhappy with the nastiness from the Lite Guv and considers it unchristian (presumably given his trashing of the 9th Commandment’s rule against bearing false witness).

True? Who knows. Sounds iffy for sure, although the source is a good one, I must say.

But one thing is for certain: all is not smiles at Camp Dubie, and a lot of people on every side are holding their breath in anticipation of those upcoming poll numbers…

Sanders Steps Up on DADT, but Where’s Leahy? (UPDATED)

Less than a day after the momumental court ruling invalidating the Pentagon’s infamous “Don’t Ask Don’t Tell” policy (which has resulted in a higher rate of gay and lesbian expulsions from the military than the unqualified ban on homosexuals it replaced), 19 US Senators have signed a letter urging the Obama Justice Department not to appeal the decision (ht FDL). If Attorney General Holder does not appeal to the 9th Circuit, the ruling will stand, and DADT will be expunged, once and for all – a goal President Obama has repeatedly claimed to support, but has done nothing to advance.

The signers make up an interesting (and encouraging) ideological range, from liberals like John Kerry and Barbara Boxer, to conservadem Mary Landrieu. Our own Bernie Sanders signed the letter. So did neighbors Jeanne Shaheen (NH), Kirsten Gillibrand (NY) and Chuck Schumer (NY).

So where’s Senator Leahy?

I have an email into his office, and will update with any response. Since Soapblox isn’t letting me put anything after the flip today (grrrr…), you’ll have to click here to read the full text and see the list of signers.

UPDATE: From the office of the Senator:

While heading the Judiciary Committee he has refrained from telling DOJ how to manage specific litigation and DOJ has an obligation to uphold federal law.  He agrees with the District Court decision on unconstitutionality.  And as you know he is an original cosponsor of the legislation to repeal DADT and supported bringing it to a vote last month, but it was blocked by a Republican filibuster.

Sounds fair enough.

Reason #1 why Dubie will lose: Modern national Republicans can’t control themselves

Re-election tool number one on Jim Douglas’s shelf was a doozy; his nice guy image. You have to remember, Jim Douglas never ran his actual campaigns as a nice guy going all the way back to the nastiness he threw against Patrick Leahy when he thought he wanted to go to Washington, but he managed to rewrite the book on himself with his folksy mannerisms and the electoral free pass he received from the Democrats in the late nineties when he was Treasurer. There’s nothing like an unopposed statewide election for having free rein to redefine oneself.

But Douglas never pushed the nasty envelope so far as to threaten that image. He was helped mightily in this by the elections calendar, which crammed the primary election painfully close to the general, as well as the mythology among the Democrats and conventional-wisdom purveyors such as Garrison Nelson that party primary contests were signs of weakness and sure tickets to defeat (of course, we have clear proof in Vermont now of what the netroots has always known – primaries energize voters and engage both the media and the non-partisan public far earlier and allow the winner to amass far more name recognition far earlier).

So, history would therefore suggest that since Dubie also had the nice guy narrative on his side, that this, too, would be his best tool for taking the Governorship. In fact, Dubie had that vibe stronger and more widely spread across party lines than Douglas ever did.

But right out of the gate – before the Democratic primary was even decided – Dubie not only went slash and burn, but he’s done so by repeatedly telling outright lies. Here’s the candidate popular with the conservative Christian set stomping all over the 9th commandment (8th if you’re RC or Lutheran) with a sort of casual abandon (Shumlin will release child predators, his phony “list of offenders” set to be released by Shumlin, how VT’s property taxes compare to other states, there was no collaboration on the RGA television ad, IBM will leave VT if Yankee closes, etc… boy we need a comprehensive list, don’t we?).

Even worse, when repeatedly called on these lies by the media, Dubie repeats them, digs in, and runs more attack ads trumpeting them further. The result has been the nastiest Vermont statewide campaign in memory, and that nastiness driver has clearly been “nice guy” Brian Dubie.

So one thing is clear; however this election goes, Brian Dubie’s “nice guy” image will not be a factor, because, for all intents and purposes, the Dubie campaign has destroyed that image utterly, once and for all.  

Win or lose, Dubie has become another example of lying politician in the eyes of all but his most hardcore supporters.

This image flip in and of itself is not enough to lose the election for him, but it does beg the question; why would the Brian Dubie campaign trash his best campaign asset?

The answer is twofold. One: as soon as national GOP election hack Corry Bliss was brought on board, it was clear Dubie was ceding control of his campaign to national Republican interests, channeled through Jim Douglas and his connections at the Republican Governor’s Association. These days, those national GOP electioneers have only one setting; smear, attack, destroy. It’s all they know how to do, and it’s all they have any interest in doing. It’s a one-size-fits-all strategy that, frankly, has served them well over the years – even if it’s shown signs of petering out over the last election or two nationwide.

Two: Brian Dubie is apparently not a very strong personality. As evidenced in this video from vtdigger, he is simply going where he’s ordered and doing what he’s told – and is either unwilling or unable to consider the ethical ramifications of running a sleazy campaign, or to take charge of his own operation. Neither option suggests qualities of strength, vision, or leadership – and those deficits are starting to show to even casual observers.

When facing the scariest economy since the Great Depression – an abyss into which Vermont has yet to fully fall but is teetering dangerously – the Republicans offer us an empty suit that is already being remote controlled by partisan, ideological interests who know next to nothing about Vermont, and couldn’t care less about it. That is scary, and that is a message Vermonters need to hear.

This week’s Candidate Forums

This week features three Candidate forums focused on:

  • Developing a health care system that works for everyone

  • Affordable childcare and access to quality early education

  • Access to jobs and the impact of cuts to public services

These forums focus on local (house and senate) candidates.  This week includes forums in St. Johnsbury, Rutland and Brattleboro.




Oct. 12:   St. Johnsbury 6:30pm Catamount Arts, 115 Eastern Ave
Oct. 13:   Rutland 6:30 Rutland Free Library, 10 Court Street
Oct. 14:   Brattleboro, 6:30pm Bratt. Union H.S., Multi-purpose Room

The forums are sponsored by the Healthcare Is a Human Right Campaign – Vermont Workers’ Center,  Vermont Early Educators United – American Federation of Teachers and the Vermont Center for Independent Living.  

This will be a great opportunity to meet your local candidates and find out more about their positions and policies.  Democratic, Republican and Progressive candidates local to the site’s district have been invited, but not all have chosen to attend (no Republicans showed up for the White River Junction forum last week).

I will be live blogging the Brattleboro Forum.

Do the IAMVY shrug

A quick glance today at the Vt.Gov webpage shows a glowing Fall foliage report for potential tourists. This timely seasonal announcement is actually followed with no intended humor by a status report and associated health statements regarding the newest tritium discoveries at Vermont Yankee. The Free Press has a run down of Dubie’s views on Vermont Yankee and the latest comments from the Douglas administration that show but a general shrug of concern (at best).  

Dubie has criticized the Senate vote against Vermont Yankee, arguing the plant’s future should be decided by the Public Service Board, which he says has expertise legislators lack.

A spokesman for Jim Douglas says:

“that detection of tritium in the former drinking well ‘is significant’.”

But he suggests little or no action.  

Meanwhile Public Service Commissioner O’Brien obligingly showcases his own special finesse by expressing his concern or rather complete lack off it over the new discovery of tritium at Vermont Yankee unexpectedly in a water well.

Public Service Commissioner David O’Brien, appointed by Douglas, downplayed the significance. “I don’t think we should take this as an indication of things going one way or another,” O’Brien said. “It’s how many days from Election Day?”

An uncharitable person might get the impression this man didn’t give sh*t one way or the other.  

Outrage Mounts Over Surge in Bullying, Violence Against Gays

Amid Rash of Suicides of Youths Who Suffered Anti-Gay Bullying, N.Y. Gang of ‘Ultra-Macho’ Thugs Go on Homophobic Rampage in Bronx Borough, Brutally Beating and Sodomizing Gay Teenager With Baseball Bat and Forcing His Partner to Burn Him With Cigarettes; While Officials Condemn Attacks, ‘Boss’ Paladino Condemns Gays

SIX FACES OF MACHISMO-FUELED ANTI-GAY HATE — Six members of a Bronx street gang were taken into custody by New York City police Friday after they allegedly went on a rampage of hate-filled violence against gays, in which  a 17-year-old gay youth was brutally beaten and sodomized with a baseball bat and his teen-aged partner was forced to burn him with cigarettes. The gang then allegedly attacked and sodomized with a plunger handle another teenager whom they perceived to be gay. The rampage came amid a rash of deaths of other teens who killed themselves after enduring relentless anti-gay harassment. (Photos: Vic Nicastro/New York Daily News)

(Posted 5:00 a.m. EDT Tuesday, October 12, 2010)

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ANOTHER REPUBLICAN CAUGHT IN SCANDAL — Ohio Congressman Spends Weekends Playing Nazi in World War II Re-Enactments — CLICK HERE

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By SKEETER SANDERS

NEW YORK — Monday, October 11, was not only Columbus Day in the United States and Thanksgiving Day in Canada.

It was also National Coming Out Day, an internationally observed civil awareness day for lesbians, gay men, bisexuals and transgendered people (LGBTs) to let their families, friends and colleagues know who they are — commonly referred to as “coming out of the closet” — and to talk about what it means to be LGBT in a heterosexual-dominated world.

The day is observed by members of the LGBT communities and their supporters on October 11 every year (Today, October 12, in the United Kingdom). But this year, National Coming Out Day has been overshadowed by the recent deaths of at least six teenagers who were driven to suicide after they were relentlessly bullied for being gay or for being perceived as gay.

The suicides include the highly publicized death of Tyler Clementi, 18, a first-year Rutgers University student who jumped off the George Washington Bridge after learning that a sexual encounter he had with another male student  in his dorm room was secretly broadcast live on the Internet.  

Adding to the pall is news of an “ultra-macho” New York City street gang, driven by an extreme hatred of gays, going on a homophobic rampage in the Bronx borough on Friday, brutally beating and sodomizing a 17-year-old gay youth with a baseball bat and forcing his teen-aged partner to burn him with cigarettes.

The gang attacked and sodomized a second teenager with the handle of a toilet plunger, then beat up and robbed an adult male before they were apprehended by police. The fourth victim turned out to be the older brother of one of the youths who were attacked, police said.

GANG MEMBERS REPORTEDLY LAUGHED, BRAGGED ABOUT ATTACKS WHILE IN JAIL

The suspects showed no remorse while they were locked up over the weekend, the New York Daily News reported Monday.  In fact, the suspects considered it amusing that they were being branded “degenerate monsters” by the New York media, according to a cellmate at the Bronx House of Detention.

“They thought it was funny — one of them was laughing,” the cellmate told the Daily News.

The witness, who was identified only by his first name, Danny, was in jail on an unrelated charge of marijuana possession. “He was saying ‘I’ll take five years.’ They were all joking around like it was funny,” he said. “They had no fear.”

The rampage was swiftly condemned by city officials. “These suspects employed terrible, wolf-pack odds of nine against one, odds which revealed them as predators whose crimes were as cowardly as they were despicable,” Police Commissioner Raymond Kelly told reporters. “This was not part of an initiation. This was a reaction to the fact that [the victims] had engaged in homosexual activity.”

“These attacks are appalling and are even more despicable because the victims were clearly targeted in acts of hate simply because they are gay,” City Council Speaker Christine Quinn said. Mayor Michael Bloomberg branded the rampage “an act of pure evil.”

The rampage occurred less than a week after police arrested two suspects for allegedly pummeling a gay man inside the landmark Stonewall Inn in Greenwich Village — the birthplace of the modern gay rights movement — and a third suspect in connection with the beating of three other gay men in Manhattan’s heavily gay Chelsea district.

WHILE OTHER POLITICIANS CONDEMN ATTACKS, ‘BOSS’ PALADINO CONDEMNS GAYS

But as the latest round of homophobic violence was roundly condemned by public officials, one New York politician chose instead to condemn gays.

Tea Party-backed Republican gubernatorial candidate Carl Paladino — who made nationwide headlines September 30 with his Tony Soprano-like confrontation with a reporter in which he threatened, “I’ll take you out, buddy!” — went on the attack against gays, telling a Hasidic Jewish congregation in Brooklyn that children should not be “brainwashed into thinking that homosexuality is an equally valid and successful option. It isn’t.”

Paladino made clear his opposition to same-gender marriage, telling congregants at another Brooklyn synagogue, “I oppose the homosexual agenda, whether they call it marriage, civil unions or domestic partnerships. Marriage is between a man and a woman!”

In a slam at Democratic gubernatorial candidate Andrew Cuomo, Paladino added, “Tell your people that I am the religious-values candidate and my opponent is the ultra-liberal, socialist social extremist that he is!”

RUTGERS STUDENT’S SUICIDE RESULT OF ANTI-GAY ‘CYBER-BULLYING?’

The rash of violent anti-gay assaults in New York and elsewhere comes against the backdrop of a disturbing increase in suicides among teenagers who have been the targets of relentless bullying because they were gay or were perceived to be gay.

In the highly publicized New Jersey case of Tyler Clementi’s suicide, two other Rutgers University students, identified as Dharun Ravi — a roommate of Clementi — and Molly Wei, were charged with two counts each of invasion of privacy after allegedly placing a Web camera in Clementi’s room on September 19 and broadcasting Clementi’s sexual encounter live on the Internet without his or his partner’s knowledge, according to a written statement by Middlesex County Prosecutor Bruce Kaplan.

Under New Jersey law, it is a crime to collect or view images depicting nudity or sexual contact involving another individual without that person’s knowledge or consent, and to transmit or distribute such images. If convicted, Ravi  and Wei could face up to five years in prison. Authorities are still investigating whether Ravi and Wei can be held accountable for Clementi’s death.

A Twitter page allegedly operated by Ravi — now offline — contains tweets in which Ravi claims credit for broadcasting Clementi’s sexual encounter on the Internet. “Roommate asked for the room till midnight. I went into Molly’s room and turned on my Webcam,” Ravi allegedly wrote. “I saw him making out with a dude. Yay!”  

OTHER TEEN SUICIDES CAUSED BY ANTI-GAY BULLYING

Clementi’s death is the sixth known suicide of a teenager in recent months as a result of being “outed” or having endured relentless anti-gay harassment or intimidation. Among the other deaths:  

# Seth Walsh, a 13-year-old Tehachapi, California boy who hanged himself from a tree in his back yard after years of being bullied. He died in a local hospital September 28 after nine days on life support. Police investigators interviewed some of the young people who taunted Seth the day he hanged himself. “Several of the kids that we talked to broke down into tears,” Police Chief Jeff Kermode said. “They had never expected an outcome such as this.”

# Asher Brown, a 13-year-old Houston eighth-grader who shot himself in the head September 23 after enduring what his mother and stepfather say was constant harassment from four other students at his middle school. Asher, his family said, was “bullied to death” — accused of being gay, some of his tormentors performed mock gay sex acts on him in his physical education class.

# Billy Lucas, a 15-year-old Greensburg, Indiana high school student, who hanged himself September 9 in a barn at his grandmother’s home. Friends say that he had been tormented for years. “He was threatened to get beat up every day,” a close friend and classmate of Billy said. “Sometimes in classes, kids would act like they were going to punch him and stuff and push him. Some people at school called him names,” the classmate said, saying most of those names were anti-gay epithets.

# Zac Harrington, a 19-year-old Norman, Oklahoma man who killed himself October 4 after attending a City Council meeting in which he endured anti-gay invectives from opponents of a resolution recognizing October as LGBT History Month. The resolution passed by a 7 to 1 vote — but not before Harrington heard opponents voice claims that gays would try to “infiltrate” the school system and flatly reject the notion that gay and lesbian couples had a civil and constitutional right to marry, while others invoked religious approbations against homosexuality.

CELEBRITIES SPEAK OUT, LAUNCH ANTI-BULLYING CAMPAIGN

The rash in teen suicides has prompted a slew of celebrities — including Ellen DeGeneres, Dr. Phil McGraw, Kathy Griffin, CNN anchor Anderson Cooper and others — to speak out and launch a campaign to stop the bullying and further youth suicides.

Cooper, appearing on DeGeneres’ talk show “Elllen,” lashed out at the use of anti-gay slurs and epithets — taking direct aim at actor Vince Vaughn’s upcoming movie, “The Dilemma,” in which Vaughn’s character proclaims, “Ladies and gentleman, electric cars are gay.”

“I just find those words, those terms — we’ve got to do something to make those words unacceptable, ’cause those words are hurting kids,” Cooper said. “Someone else I talked to recently said that the words people use and the things people say about other kids online, it enters into their internal dialogue. . . I think we need to really focus on what language we’re using and how we’re treating these kids.”

For her part, Griffin — who for the last several years has appeared with Cooper on CNN’s New Year’s Eve special — is donating all proceeds of her December 16 comedy show in Los Angeles to The Trevor Project, an organization focused on suicide prevention among LGBT youth.

For some celebrities, including DeGeneres, gossip blogger Perez Hilton, “Glee” creator Ryan Murphy and advice columnist Dan Savage, the campaign is deeply personal:  They have first-hand experience with having been bullied during their own youth for being gay.

Having once been a closeted gay teen in an all-boys high school, Hilton told ABC News that he’s “wholeheartedly committed” to the cause. “What’s really powerful is to admit and acknowledge that we’ve all been bullies,” he said. “I’ve been a bully, I can still be a bully on my Website. The point is to not be a bully to the point where someone is going to want to kill themselves — threatening violence, calling them homophobic names repeatedly.”

# # #

Copyright 2010, Skeeter Sanders. All rights reserved.

Yet Another Lie By Brian Dubie

(This is nuts. Dubie is just making up whatever he thinks works for him at any given moment. – promoted by odum)



I started looking at my video from the debate at the REV conference and it took me less than a minute to run into another whopper by Pinnochio.

Doug Racine Lends His Support to McCarthy’s Senate Campaign Tuesday

I’m very pleased to announce that Doug Racine will be joining me tomorrow for a fundraiser at One Federal.

Senator Sara Branon Kittell, David & Kaki Hutchinson, Pixley & Don Hill, Judy Ashley-McLaughlin, and Pam & Jack McCarthy will be hosting a reception on behalf of Mike McCarthy, Candidate for Vermont State Senate.

Featuring Special Guest Senator Doug Racine

at One Federal Restaurant in St. Albans

(at the corner of Lake St. and Federal St.)

Tuesday, October 12th

4:30-6:30pm

To RSVP, email Diana González at diana@mccarthy4senate.com

or call (646) 283-5613.