All posts by odum

Symington Versus the Firewall

Metaphor time. What you’re looking at is a standard configuration for connecting a Local Access Network to the Internet. See all the happy servers on one end, the internet on the other, and a firewall in between. The firewall, of course, prevents unwanted intrusion by acting as gatekeeper for the “ports” that allow information to flow back and forth between the two. Generally, they are programmed to block virtually any passage through these ports, except for a few key services delivering “safe” sorts of information, and allowing for “safe” interaction.

In this analogy, the firewall is the traditional media, the servers are all us happy voters sitting at home, and the internet is the Symington campaign – or for that matter, the Parker campaign or the Clavelle campaign. Unlike internet firewalls, though, we don’t have access to the filters, so we’re stuck with it as is. And the result is a skewed picture of what’s really going on.

Many weeks back, I was among those wondering where the Symington campaign was. They started late, but the realities of the election make no accommodations for such inconveniences. Nowadays, I haven’t been joining in those calls because I check their website every day and I know what they’re doing. And it would surprise a lot of people, I suspect, to see just how much is going on.

From the Symington website:

News icon 9-11  Education Focus of Debate (Free Press) read more »
News icon 9-11  Symington Unveils New Education Plan (VT Press Bureau) read more »
Press Release icon 9-10 Symington Program will Send More Kids to College <!– no full story–>
Press Release icon 9-9  Democratic Governors Association Congratulates Symington read more »
News icon 9-9  Douglas More Concerned with PR than Truth (Reformer) read more »
News icon 9-8 Symington Calls on Douglas to Pull His Ads (VPR) read more »
Press Release icon Burlington-DFA Endorses Symington! <!– no full story–>
News icon 9-5 Dems Hit Douglas on Job Cuts (VPR) read more »
Press Release icon 9-5  Bridge Closure More Proof of Douglas’ Failures read more »
News icon 9-5  Debate Rages on Deceptive E-Mails (AP) read more »
Press Release icon 9-4  Symington on Deceptive Douglas E-Mails read more »
News icon 9-3  Telecom Goals Stir Debate (VT Press Bureau) read more »
News icon 9-2 Symington Stresses Importance of Labor Day (Politicker) read more »
Press Release icon 9-1  Symington on Importance of Labor Day read more »
News icon 8-29  Democrats Rally for Obama and Symington (WCAX) read more »
News icon 8-28  Budget Cuts Approved; Symington Criticizes Douglas for Preserving PR Jobs (AP) read more »
Press Release icon 8-27  Douglas Wrong to Choose Public Relations Over Public Services read more »
Press Release icon 8-26 “She’s for Symington” Will Help Campaign Spread Message of Change read more »
Press Release icon 8-25 Symington Maintains Strong Fundraising Pace read more »
News icon 8-24 Symington in Denver for Convention (WCAX) read more »
News icon 8-22  Symington Warns of Worsening Budget Problem; Says Douglas Must Offer Long Term Plan (AP) read more »
Press Release icon 8-21 Symington Says Douglas Must Level with Vermonters on Potential $100 million Deficit read more »
News icon 8-21 Symington Challenges Accuracy of Douglas Ads (Free Press) read more »
Press Release icon 8-20 Symington Launches “Fact Check” Project; Calls on Douglas to Cease making False Claims read more »
News icon 8-19  Wind Energy Proposal Should Be Addressed (Free Press) read more »
News icon 8-18  Symington Praised for Determination (Free Press) read more »
News icon 8-14  Symington Offers Offender Plan (Vermont Press Bureau) read more »
Press Release icon 8-13  Symington Releases Five-Point Plan on Sex Crimes read more »
News icon 8-11  Douglas Tricks Press and Public with Distractions (Reformer) read more »
News icon 8-10 Symington Makes Strong Case for Wind (Rutland Herald) read more »
News icon 8-7  Symington Says Wind is Energy Answer (Rutland Herald) read more »
Press Release icon 8-6  Symington Calls for 20% Wind Power in Ten Years read more »
Press Release icon 8-5 Symington Says Douglas Has Power to Staff Sex Crimes Units and Should Do So Immediately read more »
Press Release icon 8-4 Symington Releases Radio Ad on New Energy Ideas read more »
Press Release icon 7-31  Symington Sets Strong Fundraising Pace read more »
News icon 7-29 Douglas Uses Outrageous Tactics (Free Press) read more »
News icon 7-29  Douglas’ Motives Are Questionable (Free Press) read more »
Press Release icon 7-28  Douglas Wrong to Saddle Vermonters with More Debt read more »
News icon 7-28  Douglas Shuts “Eyes and Ears” of Vermonters Out Of Vermont Yankee (Brattleboro Reformer) read more »
News icon 7-24  Symington on the Issues (Manchester Journal) read more »
News icon 7-21  Symington Petitions Show Broad Support read more »
News icon 7-21  Governors Race Kickoff Debate Proves Feisty (VT Press Bureau) read more »
News icon 7-18  Politicking A Tragedy (Brattleboro Reformer) read more »
News icon 7-17  Tough Questions From Symington (The Valley News) read more »
News icon 7-15  Symington Calls Douglas to Task in Bennett Case (VPR/AP) read more »
Press Release icon 7-14 Symington Calls For Investigation of Jacques Early Release read more »
Press Release icon 7-13 Douglas Not Realistic About Job Cuts read more »
Press Release icon 7-11  Symington on Leak in VT Yankee Cooling System read more »
Press Release icon 7-10 Symington Announces Roadmap To Energy Independence read more »
News icon 7-8  Symington Says Douglas Moving Slowly on Weatherization (VPR) read more »
News icon 7-7  Jim Does NOT Equal Jobs (Free Press) read more »
News icon 7/6  Douglas Takes Credit He Doesn’t Deserve (Free Press) read more »
News icon 7/3 Symington Works for Positive Social Change (Politicker) read more »
News icon 7/2 Symington Slams Douglas at Forum (Brattleboro Reformer) read more »
Press Release icon 6/30 Symington Calls for Debates in All 14 Counties read more »
Press Release icon 6/27 Strike Three for Douglas on Lake Clean-up read more »
News icon 6/27  Douglas, Symington Spar Over Property Taxes read more »
Press Release icon 6/26  Douglas Blame Shift on Property Taxes Won’t Work read more »
News icon 6/25 Gubernatorial Candidates See Different Reasons for Layoffs – Free Press read more »
Press Release icon 6/24 Symington on IBM Job Cuts read more »
Press Release icon 6/20  Symington Statement on Taylor Street Bridge, Montpelier read more »
Press Release icon 6/19 Symington Statement on Douglas Re-election Campaign read more »
News icon 6/12 Symington Counters Douglas on Efficiency Plan – VPR read more »
Press Release icon 6/18 Douglas Launches Campaign –  Associated Press read more »
News icon 6/13  Symington on the stump – Times Argus read more »
Press Release icon 6/12 RELEASE: Symington Calls for Emergency Meeting of Joint Fiscal Committee read more »
Press Release icon 6/12 Statement from House Speaker Gaye Symington read more »
Press Release icon 6/12  Symington’s “Shift Vermont Into Gear” Campaign Comes to Thunder Road read more »
Press Release icon 6/5  Symington Supports Obama read more »
Press Release icon 6/4   After Six Years Lake Champlain Clean-Up is Stuck in Neutral read more »
News icon 5/31  Democrat Gaye Symington Wraps Up Tour WCAX read more »
News icon Three-way race raises prospect of lawmakers picking governor read more »
News icon Speaker Symington emphasizes jobs, energy in her run for governor read more »
News icon Gubernatorial frontrunners making rounds read more »
News icon Frustrations make way to campaign trail read more »
News icon Symington campaign strategy: Hold Douglas accountable for his record read more »

Press releases almost every day, and a variety of them. From reactive tidbits to proactive policy announcements. Yet, even others on the left are oft heard to refer to Pollina as the “only candidate talking about issues,” which is nonsense. Like them or hate them, Symington has more specific programmatic proposals than any of the candidates.

The problem is what the problem always is – the information is not breaching the media firewall.

And when something does get through, you never know what it’ll be. Barely a mention of Symington’s energy plan proposals, but plenty of ink this week on her plan to help more kids afford college. Mainly, though, it’s that very little gets through.

Why? Part of its simple personpower. Again, the ranks of the political press corps are depleted. Also, as we know, the press has in the past been inclined to protect Jim Douglas, and although they’ve come a long way from the dark days of AP’s Chris Graff, the Freeps editorial, and Marselis Parsons setting the bar for the whole lot of them, we’re not completely beyond that.

Also, a lot of the political reporters respond to what they find interesting – and a lot of times, as with a lot of us, dry policy stuff kind of bounces off.

The thing is, when the reporters just let themselves give in to that impulse and allow things to bounce off that they find boring, it feeds a narrative – an impression – that Symington isn’t doing anything.

As I said, this is nothing new. And as I said two years ago, the most comprehensive way to confront it is to start the campaign early and build a movement-style, self-sufficent ground game community by community. That’s been our strength in the past, and we’ve forgotten that, even as we’ve seen it in rather dramatic play with the Obama campaign and Dean’s amazing surge-from-nowhere before that. Building a grassroots movement does two things: it makes the movement the story, rather than the policy checklist (reporters dig that), but it also builds the candidate into a credible threat – and the press loves a horserace. A lot of the lack of coverage reflects the fact that the press decided a long time ago that Symington can’t win (again, something they do every year) so they find her boring. A self-fulfilling prophecy if ever there was one.

But by starting so late, Symington had no chance of that. Which means the way she can break the logjam in the coming weeks is to keep doing what they’re doing (just to break even and keep from losing ground) and try to break into the news cycles in creative ways. I agree with the poster who said there should have been a press conference AT the closed Richmond bridge right away. Supportive groups can also make news (news that the press will find more intersting than campaign press releases), and when they do, Symington should be right there. VSEA’s recent Douglas-administration email disclosures, for example.

And new media can help – but only so much (and not that much in Vermont – at least not yet). The problem is, blogs and new media are still largely dependent on that firewall. Oh, sure – we do our own amateur “journalism” sometimes (Nate’s bridge video, for example), but for the most part, we’re stuck with what gets through that filter as well. To continue the analogy, here’s another image:

Consider GMD to be in “Server A” in the DMZ.

But the big way you break through the conversation at this point is paid media – which also buys some limited earned media as well. There’s probably still time for targeted media buys, but the problem here is money – they cost a lot, and Symington isn’t raising any. Honestly, I’m not sure why I haven’t been receiving an email ask every week from Symington. I’m not even sure if I’ve received one, frankly.

One thing (and again, its getting kind of late for this) that can be effective is a menu-based fundraising strategy. If you need a commercial, crank out the web ads (which can be done in house) on a regular basis to get people coming to your website. Then, if you need money for a media buy – put the professionally developed ad on the web (and linked via email) and ask people to contribute specifically to get the ad up and on the air. It’s a good way to involve your supporters in a tangible way and it can excite your supporters, as well as give them some reassurance that things are happening at the HQ.

Clearly, there’s a need for creativity, as – at this point – the odds are still long, but its far from a done deal (especially – especially – when you remember that legislative option if Douglas doesn’t reach that 50% threshold…).

Palin through the eyes of a Vermonter-turned-Alaskan

The following comes from something I received from a regular reader; a forwarded email from a former business associate of his wife’s who moved to Alaska with his family from Vermont about two years ago. Apparently a lot of folks back here in Vermont have been asking this ex-Vermonter-current-Alaskan his opinion of Sarah Palin, and this is his response.

It’s not what you’d expect. Much of it is very positive (and he’s clearly not a GMD style progressive, especially given his “PS” at the bottom), but the writer leaves no question as to how he stands on the ticket (I’ve removed all but the first name of the author).

Most of the letter is below the fold. Interesting stuff.

Greetings from Palin Country, where all the women are pro-life, the men wear

goatees and all the teenagers are above birth control.

I’ve received quite a few emails asking about Gov. Palin. Some of the below

you may have already read but here’s my local take.

Sarah is a smart, tough gal.  She’s not to be underestimated and will do

very well staying on message.   She’s not afraid to buck convention, has had

famous battles with the AK GOP chair and has come out against Sen. Stevens

(more on this later) and Rep. Young, telling them to come clean with the

public.  I believe she is focused on putting people first and is fairly

pragmatic in getting the job done.   Her approval ratings are in the

nineties.  The Anchorage Daily News has a term for it: Sarah-Love.

I thought she would be a terrible governor, would cave to the oil industry

and be out of her element.  Nothing could be further from the truth.  She

has done a terrific job and will probably do very well on the campaign

trail.

The media reports that she is a reformer and in many ways she is.  But one

must put this in context: Almost a quarter of our 2006-2007 legislative body

is in jail, under FBI investigation or waiting for trial under various

corruption schemes revolving around the oil services company, Veco.  Two

thirds of our Congressional delegation will soon by convicted felons.  Under

these circumstances, anyone would be considered a reformer. But to her

credit, she’s cleaned up Juneau (but not Juno as evidenced by her daughter)

and socked it to the oil companies for locking up the natural gas reserves

and bringing in TransCanada to build a pipeline.  She’s probably the first

governor in 25 years that truly understands urban and rural Alaska.  Let’s

hope she finishes her term.

She has clearly energized the Christian Right and if she pulls in any

disaffected Hillary voters, then those voters get what they deserve.  If

politics has become about voting for a pretty, useful product then McCain

should have considered picking the iPhone as his running mate.

In so many ways, she is America and in that sense this is a brilliant move

by McBush, er, I mean McCain.   As an Alaskan, I am simply stunned by the

decision and find it surreal that I’m now reading about Wasilla, the

culturally devoid, redneck capital of the world, in the New York Times.  I

am truly blown away by this series of events and where it may lead this

country.

Does any of this qualify her to be VP or President? Absolutely not. Only a

disillusioned, hate-radio listening, GOP-loving, Jerry Falwell worshipping

person would think otherwise.   I am getting a huge kick out of the

experience by association qualifications:  She’s head of the AK National

Guard, her son is in the Army and Alaska is close to Russia, therefore she’s

nearly the next George Marshall.   Feel free to use this stupid logic in

your life.   Want to be a surgeon but didn’t go to medical school?  No

problem.  If you have ever been to a hospital, know how to spell ‘virus’ and

have experienced any illness, proceed straight to your local medical

facility and start treating patients.

Let’s hope during the VP debates or on Meet the Press, she is asked to point

out on a map the Republic of Georgia, to name and pronounce correctly Iran’s

President and to outline a Russian containment policy (and you thought the

Cold War was over, didn’t you?).   Or perhaps explain how she’s going to

work with the Chinese to help disarm North Korea, pressure Pakistan about

the tribal lands and to name the new Japanese Prime Minister.

McCain doubled down with Palin but it’s hard to imagine a more reckless

choice.  I find it incredible that GOP operatives are now saying she is just

as qualified as some of the other governors McCain was considering.   That

may be true but why was he even considering other non-qualified candidates?

Are they saying that the GOP has no qualified VP candidates?   Gee, maybe

look to the Senate, or the House or even some of the Bush leftovers.  Isn’t

there anyone in the GOP qualified to take over when Johnny misses a few

heartbeats?   But this is a classic GOP move: Create false choices and then

call us unpatriotic for questioning their ideology.  It worked a charm for

Iraq.

Let the games begin. This might be the most interesting 60+ days in politics

my generation will experience. Here’s hoping sanity prevails and Alaska

remains off the map.

-Jim

P.S. Prediction:  Stevens gets convicted but still wins the Senate seat.

The recent charges against him has only increased his visibility and

recognized worth to the State of AK.   I swear, I may even vote for the guy.

If so, I’ll turn in my Democratic card to Chairman Wooster.

Primary Post-Mortem: A Legislative Shift as House Incumbents Go Down

It’s hard to unseat incumbents everywhere, but especially in Vermont. And yet, that’s precisely what was going on in some of the few House primary races up for consideration last night.

And there’s no mistaking the message. The first Douglas veto override attempt of last biennium – the early April budgetary adjustment that Douglas shot down for the pettiest of partisan reasons – failed (and in doing so, set the pace for the next override attempts). The two members of the Democratic Caucus who enabled that failure lost in contested primaries last night. Jon Anderson’s loss was expected, but Ron Allard – the biggest thorn in the Democratic leadership’s side – not only went down unexpectedly, but went down big. Let’s be clear, his replacement is no progressive. We’re a long way from that in Franklin County. But the fact is that Allard had nothing in common with any Dem on any issue, and actively ignored even the most basic calls for party unity when it really counted (and when his fellow conservatives in the caucus stepped up to the plate).

And the voters resoundingly stated that this was going too far.

The St Albans Town/Fairfield voters decided they may be conservative, but they aren’t Republicans, and clearly they finally decided that Allard was. It may look like a baby step, but it’s really a seismic shift – and one has to wonder if Allard will follow through on his threat to run as an Indy, given the clear rejection by his nominal party.

Equally seismic is the loss of Bill Keogh in Burlington. Allard, I held out some hope for unseating, but I never thought that Burlington author Suzi Wizowaty had a chance at unseating Keogh, who is among the most institutional candidates you will find. The fact is that his district in the south end has been gradually but steadily moving further to the left, and it has finally moved far enough to leave this archetypal Blue-Dog Dem behind. With Keogh’s loss, it’s fair to say we’re looking at a mini-wave – a trend that we can build on.

So, congratulations to Mary Hooper in Montpelier, Suzi Wizowaty in Burlington and “Moose” Christie in St. Albans Town. Three new faces of an evolving Democratic Party.

Primary Post-Mortem: Lite Guv

The first story from last night is the Lieutenant Governor’s race. When my wife told me that she’d gone to the polls in Montpelier (right in Freeman’s backyard) and seen Costello visibility (lawn signs, a volunteer holding a sign) and nothing from Freeman, I knew the jig was up. Costello is based in Windham County, but he made sure to have someone up here – and visibility in some key spots in a race where neither candidate has name recognition is worth quite a few percentage points right there.

Costello was able to raise a little money and translate that into a Whitman’s Sampler of the basics of campaigns – some mail, some field work (visibility), and some volunteer coordination, and he did that by staffing up immediately. Freeman, who among the two had the lowest name recognition, depended largely on trying to get his campaign to go “viral” (which there just wasn’t time for) and was doing much of the campaign work himself.

And it’s a shame, because – even though I was staying out of it so I could get both candidates here to pitch themselves – it’ll be no surprise that I was rooting for Nate. Nate stepped up to the plate when the Party regulars weren’t and the rank and file were feeling more than a little humiliated by that abdication of responsibility. The Dem establishment’s response (and that is what we’re talking about in this case) was, of course, to freak out and find what they considered a “real” candidate. The problem is, as absurdly late as he got into the race, I’m still not convinced that Costello was ever meant to be anything other than the “stop Freeman” candidate of an embarrassed establishment.

So now – if we’re to have even a remote chance of preventing a return engagement for Brian Dubie – we’re going to have to do what we can to make him something more than that. Costello got the nod, and that means he has a responsibility to all of us to do everything he can to win, and not just be a ballot-line placeholder.

Primary Results Thread (Plus Belated Shout Outs to a Slew of Happy Vermonters)

UPDATE #1: WASH-5: Anderson out. The Times Argus is reporting that Rep. Jon Anderson has lost his primary re-election bid to Rep. Warren Kitzmiller and Montpelier Mayor Mary Hooper. Hooper was the top vote getter (900), Kitzmiller came in at 829 and Anderson at 583 despite reports of city Republicans openly admitting to bullet voting for him on the Dem ballot (these are unofficial results). Also, Anderson only received 19 write-ins on R ballots, meaning he won’t be the Republican candidate either (the threshold was 25).


UPDATE #2: Welch beats Hill. Duh.


UPDATE #3: WCAX reports at 8:20 that 30 of 260 precincts (12 percent) have reported in, giving Costello 60% and Freeman 40% – of course that’s only 1450 and 978 votes respectively, but I just heard that there are similar results coming in from Franklin County towns. Also, I am told that Costello won in Montpelier (although not by much), and frankly, if Freeman couldn’t take Montpelier, with its higher turnout than most of the state (due to the House primary), liberal-leaning electorate, and being practically Freeman’s backyard, then he’s likely not going to win this thing.

I’d have to say its probably going to be Costello by roughly the 60-40 spread we’re seeing now, possibly more.


UPDATE #4 – WCAX calls it for Costello. With 45% of the polling places reporting, its at 61% for Costello, 39% for Freeman.


UPDATE #5 – The Free Press has some early Chittenden Senate results: With 9 of the 23 precincts reporting, it stands at Doug Racine 908, Ginny Lyons 863, Ed Flanagan 776, Hinda Miller 672, Denise Barnard 611, Tim Palmer 497, Tim Ashe 426, Dennis McMahon 241, and Sean Starfighter 156.


UPDATE #6 – More from the Freeps: Richmond and Hinesburg have come in with similar numbers (although Barnard is a lot higher up in Richmond). Unless Burlington really turns it around for Ashe (given that some of the big burb towns that have yet to come in will be his weakest), it’s looking likely that the Chittenden Senate slate will be (no surprises) Racine, Lyons, Flanagan, Miller, Barnard and Palmer.


UPDATE #7 – Washington-Chittenden 1 (Waterbury, Duxbury, Huntington, Buel’s Gore) 2 seats. Jack reporting–I just got off the phone with Sue Minter from a lively celebration at The Alchemist.

Sue Minter–592

Tom Stevens–439

Gordon Miller–154


UPDATE #8 – Allard goes down in Franklin 2. It’s not a done deal yet, but it looks like the biggest Jim-Dog of them all – Ron Allard – will likely come in fourth out of four in the primary. It’s likely to be McWilliams Greg “Moose” Christie and Howrigan. McWilliams is another conservative Moose is a moderate D, but – hey – sometimes its all about baby steps. At least he’ll likely Christie will come through for the caucus when the chips are down (of course he’ll have to get past a general election with Allard on the ballot as an I, most likely). (Caoimhin UPDATE) If Moose wins in November, he’ll be easy to recognize as a freshman representative. Here is a recent picture of him:

Photobucket Image Hosting


UPDATE #9 – Ballot trouble in Burlington. Yup. Again. This time its not enough ballots in some areas and its slowing up the results.


UPDATE #10 – Windham 5: Deen and Mrowicki are the unofficial Democratic Party nominees. Christian reporting in. I just got off the phone with the Brattleboro Reformer. Here’s the vote tallies they have so far.

    David Deen: 910

    Mike Mrowicki: 818

    Steve Darrow: 521

Even though the results are still unofficial, I don’t expect them to change. I’m certain that Deen and Mrowicki will represent the Dems for Windham 5 and they will not have any Republican challengers in November. Darrow forgot to submit his candidacy on time, so voters had to write him in as a candidate. Not sure if that hurt him in the end, but I still think we’re sitting pretty with the other two.


UPDATE #11: More Demward movement in Franklin County. Dem write-in candidates Margo Sherwood in Franklin-6 & George Bilodeau in Franklin-1 have likely qualified for the general election ballots.


UPDATE #12 – Out-of-state news: Al Franken wins the DFL primary to qualify for the general election in Minnesota against Republican nonentity Norm Coleman. (Jack)


UPDATE #13 – More big blue-to-bluer news from Chittenden 3-5: Keogh is out. Challenger Suzi Wizowaty has unseated Blue Dog Bill Keogh. Wizowaty will join Joey Donovan on the Dem ballot line in November. Unexpected (and welcome) news. Definitely a big night for the “better” part of the “more and better Dems” blogosphere mantra.


UPDATE #14 – As per Rep. Nease in the comments, the results in Chittenden 3-1 are “Bill Aswad and Johanna Cole (beating Susan Wheeler by single digits).” Good news, IMO. Cole is a great candidate. Also in “Rutland 1-2 it will be David Potter and Barbara Carris.” Thanks Floyd.


UPDATE #15 – It’s Tim vs. Tim, and down to the wire in the Chittenden Dem Senate race. Surprisingly, Ashe has moved a scant 12 votes ahead of Palmer with only Burlington left to come in. The Prog city councilor running as a D may actually pull it off, and pull that #6 slot out from under Palmer…

And with that, I’m going to bed. Perhaps commenters or other GMD front pagers can keep the updates coming (or not)…


UPDATE #16 Chittenden Senate-Does anyone else think it’s ridiculous that the polls closed more than twelve hours ago and we still don’t know what happened in Burlington? Jack


Post ’em as you get ’em, and I’ll do the same.

First of all, a few belated GMD shout outs: Not only did our own JDRyan get hitched this last weekend, but so did Welch staffer and former Dem Party ED Jon Copans to lobbyist Rebecca McCarty. They even have a wedding web page. See?

Also getting birthday shout outs are our own “Vermonter” – Neil Jensen – as well as Candleblogger Bill Simmon. I think those are late shout outs as well.

And of course, a big shout out to Essex Junction uberblogger Steve Benen for hitting the even-bigger time by appearing on Rachel Maddow’s new MSNBC show on its first night yesterday. Unfortunately I missed it, but I think we all look forward to seeing Steve become an MSNBC regular and coming to blows with Pat Buchanan.

Okay, I’m hoarse from all the shout outs…. back to the Primary…

I’ve been trying to figure which of the Lite Gov candidates gains more from the contested primaries. Overall, turnout will be dreadful – and it doesn’t sound like local primary contests will drive up voting in those areas more than 10% or so. Still, every vote counts, and Freeman definitely benefits from the increased turnout in Montpelier, while Costello may benefit from the Franklin County bounce. It doesn’t sound like the two-and-half-way race (with former Rep Darrow going for a write in) in Windham-5 will drive up votes that Costello could bank on.

The big question is Chittenden, which may benefit Freeman a bit. The turnout spike will be centered in two Burlington districts that are not as far left as we think of Burlington as being, but this is primary voters we’re talking about. Many of the reliable voters in those districts are fairly loyal to the Party as an institution, which helps “institutional” candidate Costello, but I suspect any spike above and beyond that base may equal a net gain for outsider Freeman – although probably not by much. We’ll see.

Primary Day Prediction Thread

(I thought we should bump this back up to the top.  Does anyone know where to get primary results online? – promoted by JulieWaters)

Waddaya think? Last time I was involved in a bet with Philip Baruth, Shay Totten and Neil Jensen as to the results of the Lite Gov Dem primary, and I cleaned up on free beer – this time I have no clue. There’s been so little interest in the race (as demonstrated by the GMD polls: two years ago our online Tracy v. Dunne poll had 171 voters, but the one to the right has a scant 34 votes despite the fact that our traffic is twice what it was two years ago).

What about the other races? Franklin-2? Washington-5? Rutland-3? How about Chittenden 3-1 or Chittenden 3-5? Chittenden Senate? Republican and Progressive write-in attempts?

Hey, we take our drama where we can get it.

Pre-Primary Jim Dog Watch #2 – Challenging Ron Allard

There are Blue Dogs (or, in our case “Jim-Dogs” a la Open Left’s “Bush-Dogs”) and there are Blue Dogs…. and then there is Ron Allard. Allard is in a class all his own. Well, no – scratch that, what he is is a Republican, and a more die hard Republican than most in the Republican caucus. For whatever reason, he runs as a Dem, and its truly a mystery as to why. Other conservative Dems have at least one or two issues where they act like Dems – maybe labor or ag issues or somesuch. Allard? He’s got nothing. His seatmate, Dick Howrigan, is also a hyper conservative Dem, but even he votes with his caucus on the big ticket issues – coming through when it counts, for example, on the votes to override Douglas’s vetoes.

But not Allard. He’s the Governor’s man (and a Republican) through and through. It’s a waste of oxygen to even try with him. Like other conservative D’s, he refers to himself as some sort of old school Democrat – in his case, however, he must be referring to the Democratic Party of 150 years ago, as its hard to imagine him fitting in in any Dem context this side of Mississippi in the last century.

So the question is, do either of the challengers in Allard’s Franklin-2 district (St. Albans & Fairfield), “Moose” Christie or David McWilliams, have any chance to do us all a favor and oust him?

Mmmmm… could be, wabbit. Longshot, sure – so its sure not time to bet the farm – but McWilliams has reportedly been doing everything right. He’s been knocking on doors and doing the kind of retail politicking over a long enough time necessary to win in a district like this.

Of course it is a multiseat district, meaning everybody’s running against everybody. Allard and Howrigan are both “legacy” candidates – the latest officeholders from local families with long histories of holding political office – but of the two, Allard’s legacy is the softest, making him the most vulnerable.

But Allard is pretty wedged in, and he’s already opted to pre-emptively hold the local Dems hostage by announcing that he would run as an Independent if he loses in the Democratic primary. And lets be clear, that’s not likely to happen, but sometimes…. every now and then… when a challenger busts their butt against a complacent, institutional incumbent, surprises can happen. And I can think of no surprise in the state that would be sweeter.

And yes, if Allard were to run as an Indy, he’d probably win. But maybe not – and besides, he’d be out of the Dem caucus. Whether he’d end up caucusing with the Republicans in Montpelier is anyone’s guess, but as far as I’m concerned, they’re welcome to him.

Pre-Primary Jim Dog Watch #1 – Anderson Slimes Dem Leadership

(Note: For a definition of what I mean by “Jim Dogs”, click here)  Montpelier’s free weekly, The Bridge, last week printed a look at the Democratic primary in District Wash-5, which covers the city. This, of course, is the race which pits sitting Representative Warren  Kitzmiller and Mayor Mary Hooper against also-sitting Rep. Jon Anderson. Anderson, a former Jim Douglas campaign contributor, was famously appointed to the position, against the wishes of the city Democrats, following the retirement of long-time Rep Francis Brooks.

The article spends a lot of time reviewing the first major action by Anderson following his appointment; his vote to uphold Governor Douglas’s veto – a vote which cemented his poor relationship with city Dems, as well as put him in the doghouse with the House Leadership. And if that relationship had any hope of improving, Anderson likely gave it another good kick in the head for the Bridge article (note: no link is available, as the Bridge has no online presence – emphasis added):

Anderson explains the vote as a matter of principle. He agreed with Governor Douglas on the policy question, and believed the Democrats were playing politics. Party leaders, he claims, told him that “we just want to make the Governor look bad.”

Oh, did they?

Let’s be clear, Anderson is dodging responsibility for sticking it to both the Dems and the Progs when the chips were down, not simply by dumping it back onto the leadership, but by calling them unprincipled political weasels in the process.

I wondered how they might feel about that, so I contacted Rep. Floyd Nease, who as Assistant Majority Leader in the House, acts as “Whip” to get the caucus together for important votes.

Nease was not pleased, and called Anderson’s comment “patently untrue,” calling Anderson and his actions a “great disappointment.”

A “he said, he said?” Not likely, as Anderson has reportedly suggested all sorts of explanations after the fact, this being the latest. Although he has explicitly denied it when being questioned by “colleagues” in the caucus, most insiders behind the scenes assume that Anderson’s vote was part of a deal with the Governor for the position.

And let’s be clear about another thing; that is, who was on the right side of “principle” in that override vote:

Thursday’s vote was 96-52 in favor of overturning a veto by the governor of a mid-year adjustment to the state’s budget. Douglas said he vetoed the bill because it did not include funding for a scholarship program he supported.

There’s the “principle over politics.” Douglas once again petulantly stood in the way of the most modest legislative action – a needed budgetary adjustment – because the legislature didn’t lie down and play dead over yet another of his phony pet projects designed to maximize sound bites while achieving nothing as public policy.

That’s some principle to stand up for.

While it’s true that he has been a pretty faithful vote since then, it’s equally true that a town like Montpelier can – and should – do better. Anderson knows this, and its why he has been openly courting self-identified Republicans in town to cross over into the Dem primary and vote for him.

The only question is whether he will bow out gracefully when Hooper and Kitzmiller beat him tomorrow, or if he will again ignore his Party’s decision to run as an independent.

The Democratic Candidates for Lt. Governor Answer GMD’s Questions (Updated)

Due to timing and circumstances, we were unable to hold another online debate between the Democratic Primary candidates for Lieutenant Governor, former Representative Tom Costello and businessman Nate Freeman. Instead, we sent each candidate a series of questions to which the candidates responded. The questions and their answers appear below the fold.

I encourage readers to send the link around to non-readers, as there simply hasn’t been much of an opportunity to learn about these candidates’ stances on issues (Note: Mark Johnson emails to remind us that one of the few opportunities to get a sense of the candidates was on his radio show last week. Here’s a link to the podcasts. Be careful, some of the links are a little wonky on the page, but the mp3 is there.). And if the new media exists for any purpose, its to dig into these issues further than the traditional media allows for.

GMD: Given that the Douglas/Dubie administration has avoided facing the challenges of Vermonters’ critical energy needs, how do you see Vermont’s energy infrastructure changing in the next decade?  How would you like to influence that infrastructure?

TC: The key to changing Vermont’s energy infrastructure is the appointment of a knowledgeable commissioner of the Department of Public Service who is fully committed to an energy future based on renewables which will serve the best environmental and economic interest of individual Vermonters and Vermont businesses; and the vigorous pursuit by that Commissioner of this goal.  The commissioner’s responsibility in part is to plan for Vermont’s utility future.  This responsibility arose in the passage of the Public Service Board reorganization bill in the late seventies which I wrote and was responsible for passing.  As Lieutenant Governor, I intend to ensure that the commissioner plans wisely and competently for renewable, clean energy that will benefit all Vermonters without raising their costs.

Clean alternative energy will play an increasingly larger role in Vermont’s energy infrastructure in the coming years. With the proper leadership, renewable energy infrastructure development will create economic opportunities and benefits for Vermont. While it is essential to promote this long-term vision of Vermont’s energy infrastructure, we must also provide immediate assistance for our seniors who are adversely impacted by the rapidly rising costs of heating oil and other expenditures. As Lieutenant Governor, I will seek to provide immediate relief for these Vermonters through the creation of a Vermont Senior Lien Option (VSLO). This program will have no adverse impact on the State’s finances since any payments by the State will result in a lien on the property which will be repaid in full with interest when the elder sells the property, moves out of the property, or passes away.  The program gives seniors the option of deferring property tax payments to ensure that they can afford heating oil and other basic necessities that all Vermonters deserve to have.  

GMD: How much value do you place in local economy and the “buy local” movements?

TC: The Buy Local movement for Vermont agriculture and the “Vermont First” campaign to support local commerce are exceedingly valuable to local agriculture and our downtowns.  Vermonters stand behind our local downtown businesses and are excited about the rapid development of local markets for agriculture-from the Community Supported Agriculture farms, to expanded farmer’s markets, to new on-farm marketing and the expansion of school and institutional purchasing from local vendors.  These are significant strides forward and are supported by dynamic groups of dedicated community members in towns throughout the state-they deserve commendation.

It is critically important, however, that we also recognize that we can’t drop out of the regional, or global economy.  It’s not an either/or.  As a state we export dollars for energy, products and basic services.  Finding ways for import substitution, especially in generating more clean energy in Vermont, are crucial to our future economic success, but we also need to have a dynamic export economy to balance our imports today and in the future-we can’t have dollars just flowing out of state!  And we have major industries-dairy and other parts of agriculture, forest products, environmental products, software, etc-that can produce much more than we can consume at home.  

We need to avoid pitting one part of Vermont’s economy against another-but support the dynamism between sectors.

So we need to be sure that as we support ‘buy local’ in Vermont, we balance that with support for businesses that are income generators to the state, and that also support the strong and diverse agricultural sector, and bring dollars into the state that can cycle in local commerce.

GMD: The Douglas/Dubie administration considers multinational corporations with minimal connections to Vermont to be a local business.  What do you consider to be a Vermont business and as lieutenant governor, would you be willing to ensure that most of the services purchased with your budget will be provided through companies and individuals who are based in Vermont?

TC: I think most Vermonters recognize the difference.  Vermont should be diligent, aggressive, and creative in supporting its indigenous industry with its purchasing power.  We need to lead.  That means when we build interstate rest areas, we use and showcase VT forest products that tell our story, not southern pine.  When we look at our telecommunications contracts, we use the leverage of our purchasing power-we are anchor tenants for these services throughout the state-we demand expansion of public access as part of the deal.  We need to, first off, be conscious about how our leverage can help develop strategic industry for the future.  For example, could the state be a leader in the development of solar power in VT by building contracts toward the development of solar electric and water heating systems for public buildings in VT and thereby spur the profitability of an industry that we would like to expand, and use as an attraction for other green enterprises?

We can’t make all our purchases based on location, but we should use buy local as a key guiding principle, to be balanced by realistic assessment of the needs and costs to the state.

GMD: At press conferences, the Douglas/Dubie administration does not respect the interests of Vermonters to inform themselves about State government through citizen generated media.  Will you make yourself available to citizen generated media if elected?

TC: I believe that an essential component of Democracy is media that is objective, accessible, and varied.  Modern technology has allowed the citizenry to participate in this process at a level that was previously unimagined.  This “citizen media” plays an important part in the distribution of information to Vermonters and it encourages all Vermonters to inform themselves and take an active role in the direction Vermont is headed.  I intend to support citizen-generated media and make myself accessible.  This interview is a reflection of this commitment.  

GMD: This year the legislature passed and Governor Douglas vetoed a bill to assure that Entergy Nuclear Vermont Yankee’s Decommissioning Fund was fully funded.  The fund is currently short at least $500,000,000, which is more than $750 for every Vermonter.  Do you believe that we should seek assurances from Entergy that its Vermont Yankee nuclear power plant decommissioning fund be fully funded or do you believe that this is an issue that Vermont’s taxpayers or energy users should absorb?

TC: I believe that we must have assurances from Entergy that its Vermont Yankee nuclear power plant decommissioning fund is fully funded.  Entergy Nuclear has profited off of the operation of the plant, and has an obligation to set aside adequate funds to decommission the plant. I do not believe that Vermont taxpayers should shoulder the cost to shut down the facility, dispose of the waste and clean up the site.

GMD: Do you believe Entergy Nuclear Vermont Yankee should be relicensed to run for another 20 years?  Why or why not?

TC: I have a proven track record of tackling difficult energy issues in an open-mind, fair, and judicious manner; and solving these issues and taking decisive and constructive action.  While serving in the Vermont House of Representatives I chaired the Utility Restructuring Committee responsible for keeping Enron out of Vermont, and saving the state millions of dollars; I was the Chairman of the Conference Committee which was the foundation for the passage of the bill reorganizing the Public Service Board.  

Whether or not Vermont Yankee should be relicensed is another issue that I believe must be handled with an open-mind in a fair and judicious manner. The relicensing of Vermont Yankee requires a legislative act. Currently, several independent reviews are being conducted before lawmakers take up the issue of whether or not to grant Entergy permission to operate past the plant’s scheduled closing in 2012. There is a three-member panel in charge of overseeing an inspection report of Vermont Yankee, and nuclear technology experts have been hired by the legislature to review several complex issues. In addition, Entergy must receive a certificate from the Public Services Board, a quasi-judicial body, in order to continue operation of the plant. It is the Legislature’s duty to take into account each of these separate reviews before voting on the issue.

It is my belief that in order for Vermont Yankee to be relicensed, Entergy Nuclear must clearly demonstrate 1) that they have the ability to operate the plant safely for another twenty years, 2) that they have fully funded the decommissioning fund, and 3) that they have a safe strategic plan for disposing of the radioactive material. As of this time, Entergy has failed to demonstrate its compliance with these elements.  If Entergy Nuclear after a full and fair opportunity to be heard fails to satisfy any of these three criteria, Vermont Yankee should not be relicensed to operate for another twenty years.    

GMD: Do you believe property taxes should continue to be used to fund education?  If not, what do you think may be a more appropriate alternative?

TC: I believe that property taxes are an appropriate source of funding for education. The income sensitivity features provide a measure of equity in the system.  Vermont has no capacity at this time to impose more taxes.  We need federal assistance to discharge our responsibilities to our children and to provide them with the opportunities they deserve.  This assistance is especially crucial in early education and in special education.  The executive must be capable and committed to securing this necessary federal assistance.  

GMD: Under Lt. Governor Dubie, the Lt. Governor’s office is mostly empty and it has been a largely symbolic position.  Please share with our readers how you envision your role as Lt. Governor.

TC: As Lieutenant Governor, I will be a participant in the Administration and ensure that the Legislature and the Administration work together and achieve the compromises necessary to serve the best interests of Vermonters.  I believe that a citizen, part-time legislature has been and will be in the best interests of Vermonters and similarly that a full time, year-round Lieutenant Governor is not in Vermont’s best interest.  However, I intend to make the role of Lieutenant Governor one of full-time leadership.    

GMD: Crime and education are major issues facing Vermont.  It costs almost $70,000 per year to incarcerate a female prisoner and almost $50,000 per year to incarcerate a male prisoner.  Recent studies have shown that many offenders are academically challenged and often cannot read above grade school level and also cannot perform necessary basic math skills. Do you see these situations as related, and if so, how would that affect your approach to our corrections system?

TC: I believe that there is a clear link between lack of early education, care, and opportunity for children with criminal activity, unproductive behavior, and anti-social conduct of teenagers.  I believe that the Lieutenant Governor should take the lead in advocating for more investment in early childhood education and child health care. Money spent now in these areas will reduce the money we spend in the future on health care, criminal justice, and education costs and will reduce the state’s crime rate in the long run.

GMD: Given the recent tragic events, please explain in detail your approach to the problem of child sexual predation, and how the state should be protecting Vermont children from predators.

TC: The safety of our children is the most important duty of the family, the community, and government.

Prosecutors are the conscience of our communities and they need to be given the tools to more effectively protect Vermont children. To that end, I support the following three proposals that will allow them to better protect our children from sexual predators:

1. Jessica’s Law:  I support the establishment of minimum-mandatory sentencing for those who are convicted after a full and fair trial of aggravated sexual assault against young children.

2. Civil Confinement: I support a civil confinement system that will allow, after a judicial determination, the state to hold those predators who are shown as likely to re-offend and are demonstrably, after a full and fair trial, to be a present and future risk of harm to children.

3. Fully Funded Special Investigation Units in every county: In order to more effectively prosecute child sex offenders the police need the tools to complete thorough investigations on every alleged child sex assault. These investigations need to be completed by officers who have been specially trained in this area and are free to concentrate all their efforts at combating this scourge. To that end, I would fight for fully funded special investigation units in every county of our state. We have seen the success that SIU’s have had in Chittenden County at building strong cases against offenders. It is time to export this success to other counties for the protection of all our state’s children.

We have also seen a number of Vermont communities pass “residency restriction” ordinances that limit the areas into which convicted sex offenders may move upon their release from prison. I believe that these ordinances are a legitimate reaction to the lack of action on this area from Montpelier, and the lack of leadership on this issue from our current executives.  My expectation is that the Senate Judiciary Committee and its leader, Senator Dick Sears, will make the proposals to address this issue on a statewide basis along with other proposals to enable the State to more fully discharge its responsibilities to our children.  

An unfortunate and deplorable consequence of the Randolph tragedy was the conduct of our Lieutenant Governor who called for a special legislative session (which apparently he now recognizes as an imprudent, hasty, and ill-considered reaction to the tragedy), who calls for castration and capital punishment (which I believe is contrary to the beliefs of Vermonters, unproductive, dangerous, and unnecessary), and instead of engaging in a thoughtful and critical analysis has sought to use this tragedy for his own political advantage.  I believe that the engagement of the Senate Judiciary Committee in its thoughtful, constructive, and thorough analysis of our laws on the subject is the proper course and I await the report of that Committee to more fully form my understanding of the issues and proposals for reducing the risk of sexual predators and protecting our children.

GMD: Given that the Douglas/Dubie administration has avoided facing the challenges of Vermonters’ critical energy needs, how do you see Vermont’s energy infrastructure changing in the next decade?  How would you like to influence that infrastructure?

NF: Vermont’s energy future remains in the hands of Vermont voters and their vote this year will determine the direction in which we will proceed.  If we continue with the current administration, we will have too many eggs in our energy basket with one-third of our electricity deriving from an unsafe, unreliable source in Entergy Nuclear Vermont Yankee.  We will also experience more lost opportunities to diversify, support and purchase clean, reliable and localized sources of power.

My proposal to create a Vermont Department of Energy will, if implemented, will provide a comprehensive approach to our use of energy in it’s various forms.   It will also provide opportunities to audit, assess, and recommend conservation measures withing state government.  

An initial phase in the creation of a Department will take place through organizational development in a manner that will not necessitate a substantial burden on our budget.  This can be accomplished by shifting current departments and divisions into the Department of Energy from their current positions in other agencies.  Specific examples include:

1. Renewables and Efficiency Divisions from the Department of Public Service;

2. Public Transit and Passenger Rail from the Agency of Transportation

3. LIHEAP and Emergency Fuels from the Department of Children and Families.

The greatest challenge for this kind of organizational development will be change management.  How do we resolve inevitable turf battles within agencies and departments who will lose annual budget distributions?  How do we create an effective matrix of communication between these traditionally disparate groups of career professionals?  How do we preserve the confidentiality of LIHEAP and Emergency Fuels recipients as necessary information is shared between the Angency of Human Services and a Department of Energy?

A Department of Energy will have responsilbilities and a mandate to facilitate and oversee the way energy is produced, supplied and conserved here in Vermont.  We can look to the current responsibilities of the California Commission on Energy created in 1974 as we create our own DOE here in Vermont.  We can expect a Vermont DOE to accomplish the following within 5 to 10 years from it’s date of creation:

Planning and Data

1. Annually review and update a home-heating energy emergency plan.

2. Provide for independent safety audits at locations of energy production

3. Forecast future energy needs and keep historical energy data.

4.Annually review and update a home-heating energy emergency plan.

5. Plan for and direct state response to energy emergencies.

Commercial and Residential Electricity

1. Diversify electrical energy portfolio so that no single source of power exceeds 15% of statewide use.

2. Increase the percentage of electrical energy portfolio to maximize the use of renewables with a goal to reach 95% use of renewables in 10-15 years.

3. Set ambitious annual conservation goals to reduce the demand for energy statewide with an immediate goal to achieve a 20% conservation.

4. Provide for independent safety audits at locations of energy production

Transportation Fuels

1. Create a public DMU passenger rail system serving Vermont’s 2. highest commuter routes.  

3. Expand and subsidize passenger bus transportation including commuter and non-commuter runs.

Review Vermont’s 65 mph statewide speed limit.

Commercial and Residential Heating

1. Increase tax incentives and funding for qualified weatherization projects.

2. Coordiante weatherization projects for recipients of LIHEAP and Emergency Fuels.

3. Lobby for commercial heating efficiency standards.

GMD: How much value do your place in the local economy and the “buy local” movements?

NF: As one who makes a living within our local economy in my upholstery business I depend on the continual flow of customers within a 45 to 60 minute driving radius.  In fact, my business has grown since January of 2008 as people who in the market for new furniture are beginning to recognize that they will spend more money over a 20 year period purchasing low-quality furniture from the global marketplace than they will reupholstering standard quality furniture already in their home.  As a business owner I am extremely fortunate in that the service I provide cannot be outsourced nor does it compete in the downward spiral of the global new furniture manufacturing marketplace.  

Of course, the most prominent movement in the local economy marketplace appears to be led by Vermont LocalVore.  This effort seems to be a conscious extension from the rise of weekly Farmer’s Markets, Community Supported Agriculture agreements and advocacy by Rural Vermont over the last 20 years.  The Vermont LocalVore challenge is the beginning of a conscious movement and is tracked on a town-to-town basis with the communities of Warren, Waitsfield and Montpelier currently leading the pack.  There are two reasons to support this kind of effort in a conscious manner.  From an economic perspective, many Vermonters are mindful of the importance of local farms, while from a health or culinary perspective we appreciate the nutritional value, safety and taste of fresh fruits, vegetables, meats, dairy and grains.  However, our local food economy has not yet acheived a cost level allowing Vermonters in lower economic brackets to enjoy on a daily basis.  The good news is that measures can been taken to support our local farmers economically as food prices rise for everyone.  One example is a hearing in the State House from the Vermont Milk Commission scheduled for Tuesday, September 9th (don’t forget to vote if you attend).  The VMCs proposal is intended to return to Vermont dairy farms a portion of the profit margins on milk sold in the major grocery chains.  If you’ve been wondering where the money goes when you pay $5 for a gallon of milk you can rest assured that Vermont’s dairy farms are not seeing a significant rise in their income from the sale of liquid milk.

Because Vermont’s population is small our economy will rely for some time to come on the export of goods and services as we have seen over the last 25 years.  However, the revenues derived from our export economy can be directed via employment wages and large-scale buying programs toward the support of local economies especially in our efforts to support local farms.  The outcome from such efforts will include a healthier population and more vibrant communities.

GMD: The Douglas/Dubie administration considers multinational corporations with minimal connections to Vermont to be a local business.  What do you consider to be a Vermont business and as lieutenant governor, would you be willing to ensure that most of the services purchased with your budget will be provided through companies and individuals who are based in Vermont?

NF: First, a caveat regarding the last question about the budget of the Lieutenant Governor’s office:  it’s my understanding that this budget is quite minimal, allowing for a half-time salary and a full-time secretary if my information is correct.  That being said, I will commit to maximizing local spending even if that means the purchase of the same types of office supplies at a locally owned store vs. a national chain.

In my view, a local business is owned and operated by a Vermonter, by which I mean any person who has lived here for seven days or whose family goes back seven generations.  A local business is located here because the owner wants to be in Vermont and values our state for one reason or another.  In my opinion the size or origin of the company is less important than the commitment of ownership to our state.  Approximately 30 of the top 50 employers in our state are Vermont businesses including hospitals and universities.  The vast majority of Vermont businesses are much smaller in scale including home-based businesses such as I own myself.

Every year, Vermont Business Magazine celebrates Vermont companies in it’s 5x5x5 Growth Awards, and as one who follows Vermont’s economy I find VBM an invaluable resource in tracking the success of local businesses from technology to agriculture.  In the 2008/2008 Book of Lists you can discover the Top 100 employers, Vermont’s CSAs adn Farmer’s Markets, and local Chambers of Commerce and Trade Associations and a plethora of business data.  And of course, VBM is a local company, too.

GMD: At press conferences, the Douglas/Dubie administration does not respect the interests of Vermonters to inform themselves about State government through citizen generated media.  Will you make yourself available to citizen generated media if elected?

NF: Not only will I make myself available to citizen generated media, I will continue to read and participate in the Green Mountain Daily forum as much as possible.  Why give up a good thing?  In addition to my participation here, I have volunteered in the past for two different public access stations, free-lanced for the local paper from time-to-time years ago, and then, there was that Taylor St. Bridge video….  I have a firm belief in transparency when it comes to public interest in government.  Send an email, set up a vlog or ask for an interview and I’ll be there for you.

GMD: This year the legislature passed and Governor Douglas vetoed a bill to assure that Entergy Nuclear Vermont Yankee’s Decommissioning Fund was fully funded.  The fund is currently short at least $500,000,000, which is more than $750 for every Vermonter.  Do you believe that we should seek assurances from Entergy that its Vermont Yankee nuclear power plant decommissioning fund be fully funded or do you believe that this is an issue that Vermont’s taxpayers or energy users should absorb?

NF: Now that the Federal government has approved Entergy’s proposal to spin off it’s responsibility for decommissioning to it’s underfunded shell company, Enexus, this problem becomes even more complicated.  Unfortunately, corportate assurances at this scale of enterprise cannot guarantee the outcome we desire and all too often American taxpayers private investors suffer significant losses in corporate bail-outs.  Such bail-outs occur even when the company has practiced very risky, unethcial or even illegal activities.  The amount of money lost during the fall of Enron, the 1980’s Savings & Loan scandal, and the 1998 rescue of hedge fund, Long Term Capital Management, and of course, today’s mortgage crisis.  

Because Entergy has signaled that it is not committed to its responsibility to decommission it’s nuclear facilities, I feel that Vermont can not rely on “assurances” and therefore, as one reason among several, place Vermont Yankee at the front of the line for decommissioning funds with a decision to not renew the ENVY license.

GMD: Do you believe Entergy Nuclear Vermont Yankee should be relicensed to run for another 20 years?  Why or why not?

NF: I do not support relicensing for the following reasons.

1.  Safety.  Vermont Yankee has had a series of significant safety issues since January 2007 with a 6 hour shutdown.   Additionally, the engineering design of this particular plant, with its turbine spinning in the direction of the reactor, was long ago abandoned out of safety concerns.  

2.  Uncertainty.  The first objection to decommissioning is framed as a question.  “What is your plan to replace one-third of Vermont’s electricity?”  That’s a very good question because we currently don’t have a contingency plan in place.  There is no plan to replace one-third of Vermont’s electricity if Yankee experiences a permanent shut-down due to safety issues arising from it’s deteriorating construction or human error.  

Given the series of events over the last 18 months including the collapse of Yankee’s cooling towers, two recent federal regulation violations related to a crane used to moveradioactive spent fuel , and human error causing an increase of radiation levels and a plant evacuation, it’s time to create a contingency plan and begin imagining life without Yankee.

GMD: Do you believe property taxes should continue to be used to fund education?  If not, what do you think may be a more appropriate alternative?

NF: On the subject of property tax I would first like to point out my opposition to Mr. Costello’s proposal for a reverse-mortgage scheme referred to as a “Tax Annuity Lien Option.”  This is an exotic insurance product which would liquidate the value of a home over a period of time with no guarantee that many years of deferred property taxes would be repaid.  Additionally, as with any brokered insurance product, there is a significant up-front sales commission associated  the annuity in the range of 5 to 6% of the value of the home.  Finally, the number of circumstances in which this kind of reverse mortgage would be so rare as to qualify the proposal as legislative “boutique” issue.  The information available to the general public about a “Tax Annuity Lien Option” is limited to Mr. Costello’s proposal, thus making it incredibly difficult for the average home owner to understand what they may be agreeing to should this proposal become law.

The education tax law, while constructed as an indirect income tax, is extremely complex and one of the most frustrating elements of the law for tax-wary school boards is the uncontrolable impact of the Common Level of Appraisal.  Despite the fact that my local school board, of which I am a member, held our annual increase below 4%, the CLA, a statewide property value leveling mechanism, raised the rate significantly higher and therefore affected taxpayers more substantially.  

This is a very complicated issue that I has no silver bullet solution.  If we diversify the sources of revenue to support education, then we run the risk of “tax creep.”  For example, if we propose to reduce the property tax and make up the difference with an increase in the income tax, it may only be a few years before taxpayers are once again paying property tax at the most recent high-water mark.

Lacking a current proposal of my own, I would at this point recommend any approach to changing our education tax in an incremental, evolutionary manner as described in Charles Lindblom’s 1959 Public Administration Review essay, “The Science of Muddling Through.”

GMD: Under Lt. Governor Dubie, the Lt. Governor’s office is mostly empty and it has been a largely symbolic position.  Please share with our readers how you envision your role as Lt. Governor.

NF: I believe it was Madeleine May Kunin who said, loosely paraphrased, that the office of Lieutenant Governor is as big as your imagination.  Of course, there are budgetary and constitutional limits in this position, however Vermont can’t afford to elect anyone to this office who is only committed to the lowest standards of responsiblity such as we have seen over the last six years.

Because of my proposal review the implementation of the Angel Investor’s Act, I would seek an appointed or ex-officio position as a Director of the Vermont Econcomic Developmnet Authority.  Additionally, I would advocate for a bill to be introduced in the Senate creating a Vermont Department of Energy.

GMD: Crime and education are major issues facing Vermont.  It costs almost $70,000 per year to incarcerate a female prisoner and almost $50,000 per year to incarcerate a male prisoner.  Recent studies have shown that many offenders are academically challenged and often cannot read above grade school level and also cannot perform necessary basic math skills. Do you see these situations as related, and if so, how would that affect your approach to out corrections system?

NF: This is a subject that, once again, is very complicated and I would have to learn much more about it in order to respond appropriately.

GMD: Given the recent tragic events, please explain in detail your approach to the problem of child sexual predation, and how the state should be protecting Vermont children from predators.

NF: I have taken a firm position in advocating for stronger preventative measures in order to help shine the late of day into this heart of darkness.  We have strong laws in place yet we have much to do in the way of education and prevention measures.  

If we look back a mere year and a half in Brian Dubie’s February 17th, 2007 “log book” entry, “Taking Responsibility to Protect Vermont’s Children,” the Lieutenant Governor acknowledges the Legislature’s actions creating tougher laws against sexual predators.  In the same entry, Brian Dubie acknowledges the expansion of Special Investigative Units.  He even discusses preventative measures, saying, “we must help every Vermonter learn to prevent, recognize and act when they see child sexual abuse.”  Ironically, Brian Dubie is very much in agreement with my position:  we have tough laws in place; we need to expand our SIUs, and we need to shine the light of day into the heart of darkness in order to approach the very difficult epidemic of sexual violence against children.

Additionally, if we look back to Jim Douglas’ April 17th press release, “Vermont takes unprecedented action to prevent sexual and domestic violence,” we can see the Douglas/Dubie approach to sexual violence is to merely applaud and immediately forget the laws we have recently passed.  In Douglas’ press release, dated a mere 3 months prior to the tragedy in Randolph, the governor states, “Vermont is leading the nation in developing innovative, proactive approaches to ending the epidemic of sexual and domestic violence in our state.”   Additionally, the Vermont Legislature passed into law Act 174 on Domestic Violence, specifically including a provision never mentioned by either Douglas or Dubie despite a very public outcry for this measure:  that prior convictions for sexual assault shall be considered a prior offense for purposes of sentencing enhancement.  Instead of reassuring good Vermonters that we had just placed into law the same provisions suddenly demanded, both Brian Dubie and Jim Douglas fanned the flames of emotion and disregarded their own statements only mere months prior to this tragedy.

It is my position that, in addition to the strong laws on sexual and domestic violence both Jim Douglas and Brian Dubie have already acknowledged, we need to enact a new law that will provide for much stronger measures in the areas of education and prevention of sexual violence against all persons of every age.

Welcome to the Party, Taylor. Be Advised: It’s not Always Quite this Interesting….

(The following is the last piece I wrote for the UK Guardian’s online coverage of the Democratic Convention, but it got to them apparently just too late to get posted. Rather than see it languish in oblivion, I thought I’d post it here, even though its not so timely…)

It’s safe to say that most of us who are reasonably civic minded get a thrill out of the first time we vote in a major national election. To the new voter, it is a new experience that blends one’s voice with those of millions of other voters’ to collectively make one of the most important decisions that can be made, while also tying us to a tradition of Democracy that spreads out over centuries. It’s at once empowering and humbling.

But come middle age, many of us may have problems remembering the particulars of that first election in which we cast a ballot.

That likely won’t be the case for Vermonter Taylor Bates who, in his first year of voting eligibility is not only being introduced to the Democratic process through the ballot box, but by being a floor delegate to the Democratic National Convention. Bates, 18, only just graduated from High School in Vermont and found himself in the midst of an experience very nearly unique to one of his age.

Bates, who campaigned tirelessly and effectively to be elected a delegate, was encouraged to make the unlikely effort (which put him up against party regulars and officeholders) by his high school debate coach. “I attended meetings across the state, sent out a mailer, bought an ad in the program, and baked about 600 brownies for the other state delegates.”

After the historic nomination acceptance speech by Presidential candidate Barack Obama, an apparently exhausted Bates was clearly inspired. He was pleased that Obama had “addressed nearly every challenge to the Obama candidacy: attacks on his patriotism, his experience, his celebrity status, and most of all his ‘vague’ speeches. I was thrilled by the enormous amount of time devoted to policies and contrasts with McCain.”

Bates is also a star of Vermont delegation for reasons beyond his age. He alone in the delegation responded to a national challenge for delegations to attain carbon offset credits for collective carbon neutrality.

“I bought the carbon credits for all 27 of our delegates myself, which cost me about $200, for which our state received special recognition.”

If there is any doubt as to whether this will be his only foray into the political world, Bates added “I love politics the way most people love sports. For me, this is the Olympics, the World Series, the Super Bowl, only instead of being just a spectator I can make a difference in what happens on the field. In politics, the team with the best supporters wins, something I can appreciate as a Red Sox fan.”