All posts by odum

Did I hear that right? Douglas suggests he only represents voters that give him money.

Wow, this guy is feeling secure enough in his elected position to let it all hang out, apparently. From Sneyd at VPR (emphasis mine):

(Beth Robinson) “When this (same-sex marriage) bill first came into the Legislature back in the spring the governor said he didn't really like the prospect of raising a divisive issue in the state. And it turns out that the governor is taking the lead in making this a divisive issue. And I'm disappointed in that.”

(Sneyd) Douglas won't address the criticism directly. All he'll say is it's coming from someone who probably isn't going to contribute money to his re-election.

That clunk you just heard was the sound of my jaw hitting the Langdon Street Cafe keyboard. Now that's honesty. A clear statement that, in Douglas's eyes – the value of your opinion is based on whether or not you'll pay him to take you seriously.

And here's some more honesty: after that comment, I actually feel for the first time that we might take this guy down next year after all.

Shumlin Supporting Pollina? Not so fast, Mr. Freyne…

Even the casual observer will notice that Peter Freyne at Seven Days has had little good to say about Speaker Symington and Senate President Pro Tem Peter Shumlin. Hey, we've all had complaints – he's hardly alone in that. But Freyne may be seeing so much red when he looks at those two that he's losing perspective.

First was his reaction to the gay marriage commission, in which he mocked the two Dem leaders mercilessly, but couldn't squeeze out a single comment on the merits of the issue (despite his tireless support for civil unions). The latest is this week's column reporting that Shumlin is pushing Progressive Anthony Pollina to get into the Governor's race. It quotes Progressive Rep Dave Zuckerman as saying that  “'He came up to me at an event in Montpelier,' said Zuckerman, 'and said we’ve really got to talk about how we’re going to get rid of Jim Douglas, and I think Anthony Pollina should really consider running.'” The account mentions a follow-up conversation, and Shumlin's desire not to go public during his “calculating.”

Well, Sen. Shumlin remembers things a bit differently. From his recollection, it was Zuckerman who brought up Pollina. While Shumlin recalls being complimentary of Pollina (and has since reached out to him to mend long-broken fences), he says he has long maintained (to “anybody who will listen”) that Pollina could not take the middle, and would therefore lose such an election.

Who would Shumlin really like to see run? Says Shumlin: “I have told anyone who will listen that the best candidate, in my judgment is Matt Dunne.” (and Dunne verified Shumlin's encouragement in an unrelated conversation with me a ways back).

It doesn't make very thrilling copy, or very juicy political theater, but it does make a lot more sense, no?

Leahy Votes to Condemn MoveOn.org

Still a matter of hours after we couldn't get a vote on habeus restoration and Jim Webb's amendment to help American combat troops, we do seem to allow  something truly monumental to come to a vote and pass overwhelmingly – that is, saving the nation from a newspaper ad from two weeks ago. Chris Dodd said it best about today's vote:

  “It is a sad day in the Senate when we spend hours debating an ad while our young people are dying in Iraq.

And it's a sad day in Vermont when our senior Senator votes to prop up the GOP on this meaningless, propgandistic bullshit stunt. Honestly, I feel ashamed. As MoveOn says on their website, Leahy and the Senate “just told you to sit down and be quiet.”

In case you missed it, Kinsley at Time pretty much sums it up

Goodness gracious. oh, my paws and whiskers. Some of the meanest, most ornery hombres around are suddenly feeling faint. Notorious tough guys are swooning with the vapors. The biggest beasts in the barnyard are all aflutter over something they read in the New York Times. It's that ad from MoveOn.org — the one that calls General David Petraeus, the head of U.S. forces in Iraq, general betray us. All across the radio spectrum, right-wing shock jocks are themselves shocked. How could anybody say such a thing? It's horrifying. It's outrageous. It's disgraceful. It's just beyond the pale … It's … oh, my heavens … say, is it a bit stuffy in here? … I think I'm going to … Could I have a glass of … oh, dear [thud].

As Kinsley continues “The fuss over this MoveOn.org ad is something else: it is the result of a desperate scavenging for umbrage material… The constant calls for political candidates to prove their bona fides by condemning or denouncing something somebody else said or to renounce a person's support or to return her tainted money are a tiresome new tic in American politics.” 

Yeah. Almost as tiresome as when an otherwise brilliant Senator buys into the whole nonsense and boosts its effectiveness and credibility with the not-tuned-in public. Yuck. Even Senator Clinton voted the right way on this (although Obama missed it, and pissed off people like Stoller – he's suggesting in response that skipping out on the vote was a virtuous act).

Wanna do something? Go sign MoveOn's petition refusing to back down. If you want to revisit the offending ad and see how tame it is compared to routine GOP attacks, click below the fold.

UPDATE: Finally found out what happened to Biden on this. He just bagged the whole day of votes. Figures.

Here's the MoveOn NYT ad text:

 

General Petraeus or General Betray Us?

 

 

 

Cooking the books for the White House

 

(Click here for the thinking behind the ad)

 

General Petraeus is a military man constantly at war with the facts. In 2004, just before the election, he said there was “tangible progress“ in Iraq and that “Iraqi leaders are stepping forward.”
  Washington Post, “Battling  for Iraq,”  by David H. Petraeus.  9/26/04 (see below)

 

And last week Petraeus, the architect of the escalation of troops in Iraq , said ”We say we have achieved progress, and we are obviously going to do everything we can to build on that progress.”
  The  Australian, “Surge Working: Top US General,” by Dennis Shanahan.  8/31/07

 

Every independent report on the ground situation in Iraq shows that  the surge strategy has failed.
  GAO report,  9/4/07
  NIE  report, 8/23/07
  Jones report, CSIS,  9/6/07

 

Yet the General claims a reduction in violence. That’s because, according to the New York Times, the Pentagon has adopted a bizarre formula for keeping tabs on violence. For example, deaths by car bombs don’t count.
   “Time  to Take a Stand,” by Paul Krugman.  9/7/07    

 

The Washington  Post reported that assassinations only count if you're shot in the back of the  head — not the front.
  “Experts  Doubt Drop in Violence in Iraq,” by Karen DeYoung. 9/6/07 l

 

According to news reports, there have been more civilian deaths and more American soldier deaths in the past three months than in any other summer we’ve been there.
  The  Associated Press, “Violence Appears to Be Shifting from Baghdad.” 8/25/07
  National  Public Radio, “Statistics the Weapon of Choice in Surge Debate,” by Guy  Raz.  9/6/07
  Associated  Press, “Key Figures About Iraq Since the War Began in 2003.”  9/5/07

 

We'll hear of neighborhoods where violence has decreased. But we won't hear that those neighborhoods have been ethnically cleansed.
  Newsweek,  “Baghdad’s New Owners,” by Babak Dehghanpisheh and Larry Kaplow, 9/10/07
  Ibid from  the AP, “Violence Appears to be Shifting From Baghdad”
  McClatchy,  “Despite Violence Drop, Officers See Bleak Future for Iraq,” by Leila Fadel.  8/15/07
  The  New York Times, “More Iraqis Said to Flee Since Troop Rise,” by James Glanz and  Stephen Farrell. 8/24/07
  Most importantly, General Petraeus will not admit what everyone knows; Iraq  is mired in an unwinnable religious civil war.
  We may hear of a plan to withdraw a few thousand American  troops.
  The  New York Times, “Petraeus, Seeing Gains in Iraq as Fragile, is Wary of Cuts,”  by David Sanger and David Cloud, 9/7/07
  The  Washington Post, “Petraeus Open to Pullout of One Brigade,” by Robin Wright and  Jonathan Weisman.  9/7/07.

 

But we won’t hear what Americans are desperate to hear: a timetable for withdrawing all our troops. General Petraeus has actually said American troops will need to stay in Iraq for as long as ten years.
  The  Hill, “Rep. Schakowsky: Petraeus hints at decade-long Iraq presence,” by  Patrick FitzGerald.  8/10/07
  Today before Congress and before the American people, General Petraeus is  likely to become General Betray Us.

 

 

Quietly Passing Through the Vermont Political Looking Glass

You wouldn't know it to look around you, but the Vermont political landscape seems to have been turned on its head. As subtle as it may seem, the reality could be earthshaking if it holds up. For context, this is me from a GMD diary, waaaaaaaayyy back in February of '06:

Why the Democrats lose control of issues in the media is a topic of much debate. In my view it comes down to one thing: the Democrats see policy and politics as distinct. the Governor doesn't. Frankly, the Governor doesn't seem to have much interest in policy. He seems to leave that to his lieutenants.

Now, you've got to feel for many of these Dems. In fact, I suspect they are not much different then most of the Republican congresspeople in this way (the difference of course being that the Republicans in the House and Senate do not have the responsibility of playing the role of opposition to the Governor). They share the public's distaste for politicking, and they don't really want to engage in it any more than they have to. What they want to do is make policy — you know, the cool stuff. And again, who can blame them? They do what they can to divorce the two by placing the politicking in a box marked “election season,” and they try not to think about it any more than necessary until then (and even then, they often try to create rationales for why they don't really have to do it — rationales that often sound something like “in MY district we dont like that sort of thing” or, “I just dont think running elections right is the Vermont way”…but thats a topic for another diary…).

And because they dont like it and they want to avoid it, two things happen. ONE: They don't accept (as Douglas does) that, like it or not, you are ALWAYS running for re-election, and so is the other side. Now, there are certainly plenty of organizational doings going on behind the scenes in Democrat land, but they are all primarily support work for Election Time. Candidate recruitment, research, checking in with your infrastructure, developing lists — great stuff, but its the prep work for politicking rather than the politicking itself. There is still — even with all this good behind the scenes stuff going on — a tendency to want to compartmentalize politicking into “election season,” and that just doesn't work anymore.

TWO: When it comes time to really play politics, they get uncomfortable, stiff, long-winded and meandering. And it's because they just don't like it. Why was Peter Shumlin always so good with the press and on the stump? He really dug that stuff. Most of his Democratic compatriots really, really don't. And you never get very good at something you don't like to do.

So what's changed? Maybe nothing – but maybe everything. Below the fold for a very, very good sign (and I think we all could use one)…

Here's more of my original point:

A key moment where the Dems lost traction last year was also an incredibly illustrative example of what I'm talking about. When Douglas called the legislature back into session last year to address the VSC contract, the Democrats blinked. Obviously, that was going to play badly in the press, but both sides had the sense to realize this was a high tension, high-stakes moment, and the opportunity was there to set the tone for the post-legislative war in the press. Dueling press conferences ensued, with Douglas doing his usual song-and-dance, while a couple doors over, Speaker Gaye Symington and Peter Welch addressed the cameras.

It was hard to watch. Symington and Welch stammered, they squirmed. Even when they spoke with committment and authority, two things were evident: one, they really didn't want to have to do this. Two:

They hadn't prepared (or perhaps “they hadn't been prepped” is fairer).

They were winging it, pure and simple. They were so clearly ad libbing that Welch allowed himself to get dragged into a bizarre digression with Peter Freyne of Seven Days about whether referring to a Dem officeholder as “Democratic” or “Democrat” was a key part of the grand right-wing conspiracy or not. Sure, I think the GOP-ers use “Democrat” as an epithet that rhymes with “bureacrat,” but was that really what they called a press conference for, and is it really a good idea to get into a back and forth argument with a reporter about it?

Within weeks, Douglas was around the state making his opponents issue into his issue. At the same time, the Speaker was making sure Democratic County committees had videotaped copies of her press conference to watch.

Do I think Rep. Symington thought she and Welch were so great that the legions of Dems assembled should bear witness? Not at all. I think the video dissemination just shows us once again that Symington, Welch, and most of the other Dems would rather think about policy that politics. Who cares about the style of the thing, the point is that she and Welch discussed policy.

The unspoken assumption here, is that politics are unnecessary — even unseemly — when you're in the right. That intelligent people of good will, if they take a moment to listen to you, can't help but agree. It's a nice idea. It truly, truly is, and it's an idea that honorably motivates many folks to run for office.

But it sure as hell doesn't win these policy battles (or in the long run, elections).

At this point, those sentiments are hardly revelatory for GMD readers. But bearing that in mind, let's take a look at what's going on now, with the session again looming.

Well, Douglas recently went out on tour again. His “tell me what you really think of the legislature” tour, playing to a handful of usual suspect GOP malcontents, and falling flat in the press with a great big dull thud.

Now when was the last time that happened?

In contrast, what are we hearing in the press about the Dems of late? How about the Rutland Herald…

January's Legislative session is still months away, but through study committees and fall meetings lawmakers are now laying the foundation for what will happen then, Speaker of the House Gaye Symington, D-Jericho, said Friday.

Legislators held a joint House and Senate hearing on education on Thursday and similar meetings on energy and transportation will be held next week.

At the top of their list when they return full-time next year will likely be energy efficiency legislation, measures to encourage affordable housing, and consideration of how to fund the state's transportation infrastructure.

And as far as tours go, the Governor may not be getting any ink, but another tour is:

The Vermont Commission on Family Recognition and Protection – or the Gay Marriage Commission as most people outside of Montpelier are calling it – has scheduled the first few public forums on the issue.

Commission members will meet for a short organization session at Johnson State College on Oct. 10 at 5:30 p.m. Following that, in the Bentley Auditorium at the college, the commission will hold its first forum from 7-9 p.m.

Again, however you may feel about the issue, the fact that its out there is putting the Dems in the driver's seat. And in the face of the previous press, the Governor's attempts to generate anti-gay gripes under the pretense that gay marriage is a non-issue look pretty thin.

But let's make no mistake about it: the Dems in the media driver seat going into the session is unheard of in recent years.

If these folks can keep this up, we may all be in for some very pleasant surprises come 2008.

A Party of One

I guess I just don’t understand Peter Shumlin anymore. I suppose I never did. I can come up with one “unified field theory” for the “Shumlin whiplash” effect described by Philip Baruth (first we oppose the Governor’s education scheme, then we’re putting it into legislation at the last minute – first we’re hammering Vermont Yankee on their sweetheart tax deal, then we’re taking a pass – we can’t even discuss the gay marriage issue in the session, then we’re all for it – impeachment, well…). All I can figure that makes sense is that he has poor impulse control. That instead of having all these conversations in his head – y’know, the kind of back and forths that we all engage in – he’s playing them out in the wide open for everyone to ride along with.

(Let me be perfectly clear about something. Although I have no doubt I irk him, I’ve always liked Peter a lot. I’m not one to personalize these sorts of concerns, and I’ve never doubted that his heart is in the right place. I just want badly for him to be successful and effective. We all need him to be. Symington as well. Those who get understandably frustrated need to realize there are no pretenders waiting in the wings come January, so to advance our agenda, we have to make these two relevant and impactful, sometimes despite themselves)

The latest from Shumlin is another big, Jon Stewart-style “whaa…?” According to Freyne, the same Shumlin who has been pushing the notion of Republican Senator Vince Illuzzi running for Governor is now encouraging Progressive Party standard-bearer (and old Shumlin electoral nemesis) Anthony Pollina to get into the race (lemme hearya say “whaaa…?”)

Freyne:

Progressive State Rep. David Zuckerman of Burlington told yours truly that Shumlin first broached the subject of a Pollina nomination last April.

“He came up to me at an event in Montpelier,” said Zuckerman, “and said we’ve really got to talk about how we’re going to get rid of Jim Douglas, and I think Anthony Pollina should really consider running.”

Rep. Zuckerman said Sen. Shumlin also called him a couple months later.

Shumlin “was still interested but didn’t want to be public about it, since he’d been doing so much public work about getting Vince [Illuzzi] to run. Shumlin was calculating and trying to figure out who the best candidate to beat Jim Douglas would be.”

Jane! Stop this crazy thiiiiing..!!!

…ahem…

On the one hand, you’ve got to admire Shumlin’s selflessness. This goes completely against the nasty narrative of Shumlin being all about Shumlin. It’s gotta take a lot of humility to make such a call and put such a suggestion out there, given his history with Pollina. Anyone fixated on that narrative of the guy is going to be forced to re-evaluate it, unless they are determined to carry a chip on their shoulder.

On the other hand… well… sheesh. Y’gotta wonder if Shumlin has so lost faith in his own party that he assumes anybody but a Democrat can defeat Douglas. That’s a serious institutional self-loathing message there, and people are going to start questioning whether the guy is serious about his party, or if he’s casting himself as a party of one.

But what about the merits of a Pollina run? Clearly in a three-way race, Pollina comes in third (unless that three-way is Douglas-Pollina-Illuzzi, in which case he comes in a distant second). We have the historical data on that, and the dynamics – if anything – are less favorable to third parties now than they were closer to the turn of the millenium.

Pollina as a unity candidate is a different story, though – and one not without precedent. The legendary Dem-basher himself ran under the Democratic banner waaaaay back in the eighties (and that didn’t go so well).

Nevertheless, I don’t see it.

Don’t get me wrong. I wish it were a viable option. I worked on Peter Clavelle’s campaign, and a big reason I was an early booster for the Mayor’s candidacy was precisely to build a bridge between the Dems and Progs. Clavelle was a far better candidate for that in the sense that he had built bridges between the Progs (and himself) and Democrats – even among the center-right, who respected his tremendous success in Burlington. His executive experience was second to none among possible contenders. Still, a big part of the problem was that the “Prog” label proved to be more of an albatross than I’d ever imagined. There were a lot of dug-in, hardcore moderate Dems who simply wouldn’t consider him, and he could never bridge the trust issue with them. In the end, he very nearly split the difference between Pollina’s strongest statewide result and Democrat Doug Racine’s previous contest with Douglas.

In terms of final election numbers, for a Prog he ran spectacularly well. For a Dem, he ran poorly. The rest is history, but it’s history that would likely be a Pollina campaign’s best-possible-case scenario.

Then there’s the fact that I doubt he’d do it. Let’s put aside for a moment the intractable moderate Democrats (read: Weeniecrats), and look at the mainstream left only; that is, Progressives and liberal Dems.

Pollina is a partisan warrior, and would be thrilled to have the left unite under his banner – but make no mistake, it would be a Progressive banner, and that would then limit him further. If he could be talked into splitting the difference (so to speak) and running as an Independent, he’d have better chances.

The problem is that liberal Dems and Progs have very different reasons for not being each other. This is a generalization, of course, so bear with me, but I thnk there’s truth in it. Dems (again, I’m talking liberal ones at this point) are usually “not Progs” for pragmatic reasons; the spoiler argument, their analysis of the political system, etc.

On the other hand, Progs are usually “not Dems” for moral reasons; Dems are bad guys, no different from Republicans, corporate stooges, etc.

I’ve found its a lot easier to talk people around their preconceived notions of pragmatism, as its an intellectual process. If you can convinvingly change the equation, you can change people’s minds.

Talking people out of their preconceived morality is a whole ‘nuther kettle of fish. As such, I suspect liberal Dems will be much more open to the idea of someone like Pollina running with their institutional support than Pollina will be about running (at least partially) under their institutional banner.

I’d like to be wrong about that. And these are obviously generalizations. Clavelle took the leap 100%, but Clavelle has always been less partisan, ultimately seeing political parties as a means to an end. That sounds crass, but it’s not. I think it’s proper. There’s nothing sacred about the Democratic Party in my eyes – it is simply my reasoned opinion that, under our political system – it remains the only meaningful electoral vehicle for promoting progressive change. I have no problem saying that the Democratic Party is, for me, simply a means to an end, rather than an end in itself.

To many Progs – and I suspect Pollina is among them – the Progressive Party (and its “ultimate campaign finance reform goal” of supplanting the Democratic Party) is not a means to an end, but constitutes an end in itself.

And that makes for a big, big cavernous divide between the liberal Democratic left and the Progressive Party faithful.

Leahy Teams Up With Dodd on Presidential Campaign Website

UPDATE: The vote to restore habeus was blocked. No doubt you won’t hear the word “filibuster” from the traditional media, though, as that seems to be a derisive word reserved for Democratic actions…

Senator Leahy has been the leading (sometimes the only) Washington voice calling for the restoration of habeus corpus rights to those deemed “enemy combatants” by the Bush administration (which, depending on how the vaguely worded legislation is interpreted, could mean anybody – US citizens included).

Connecticut Senator and Presidential candidate Chris Dodd has also been pushing the matter. Emails have been coming out of Leahy's “Green Mountain PAC”, and most recently his “Leahy for Vermont” campaign fund promoting the “Habeus Corpus Restoration Act.” Here's an example:

As of right now, we're just a handful of votes away from the 60 votes we need to overcome the Republican filibuster.

That's where you come in.  We've developed an online tool to help you call your Senators, urge them to support the Habeas Corpus Restoration Act, and then report back on where they stand so we can track our progress towards 60 votes.

First of all – let's make no mistake, this is very cool, and unbelieveably important. Where the tool is designed to direct voters to their Senators (by their count, they are 9 short of the 60 needed for a cloture vote) – and obviously Vermonters have their Senators covered – it's still an opportunity to be a “citizen co-sponsor,” so it's worth clicking on, and being redirected to Restore-Habeus.org.

But behind the message is an interesting subtext. Restore-Habeus.org is, as the disclaimer says, “Paid for by Chris Dodd for President, Inc.”

Now, good on Dodd for putting this at the center of his campaign, but its interesting that this campaign website not only features Leahy so prominently, but that Leahy is using his own campaign resources to direct supporters to it. It looks for all the world like a tacit endorsement of his fellow liberal New England Democratic Senator's presidential run. On the other hand, Senator Leahy was also recently at the big Obama fundraiser, helping the Junior Senator from Illinois raise some campaign cash. What gives?

There's no telling whether or not Leahy plans to make an endorsement in the Presidential Primary, but these two actions suggest he won't – that instead, he'll simply lend support to colleagues when asked.

Still, one wonders then, if we don't see similar gestures from Leahy on the behalf of Senators Biden and Clinton, if that doesn't make some sort of statement by omission.

News Items & Open Thread

The Democratic Party in Vermont has been turning on the heat over Jim Douglas's hiring of a GOP usual suspect, K Street insider to represent Vermont, without putting the taxpayer-funded contract out to bid. Mega-Lobbyist Craig Pattee's company, Dutko Worldwide, are pure mercenaries, working for anyone who will pay them. Pattee, however (a Middlebury alum) is a partisan Republican, (again giving the Douglas administration yet another whiff of croneyism, as well as creating another tie to Washington Republicans). What the media hasn't mentioned (that I've seen) is that Pattee is also a National Finance Co-Chair for Mitt Romney's Presidential campaign. It does bring up questions as to how he can effectively lobby a Congress on our behalf when he is working in such a high-profile way against the Chairs of the Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, Superfund and Environmental Health, and Foreign Relations committees, as well as the House Domestic Policy Subcommittee (not to mention our entire Washington delegation).

Missed the great McLaughry/McKinnon McKibben (woops… momentarily got my environmentalist and feminist writers mixed up) Global Warming debate? From all accounts of the affair, the press reports are not to be believed, and are more examples of the media propping up a phony bipolar parity between the two issues and the two debaters, when the reality is far more one-sided. Instead try this letter to the editor from Annette Smith of VCE:

McKibben suggested that since McClaughry had nothing more on alternative explanations, that the discussion switch to solutions. McClaughry agreed that cap and trade systems are good in theory, but questioned if they could work. Both men agreed that conservation and efficiency are real solutions to aggressively pursue. The conversation turned to solar thermal hot water heating, plug-in hybrids, and solar panels. Rather than debating “if,” the men were discussing “what now?” It was as though a light came on, perhaps even for McClaughry.

Meanwhile, what do you do when there is less and less phony science to prop up your global warming denialism, and what little “science” that remains on your side isn't even taken seriously? Why, make science itself the enemy. I kid you not.

Leahy's all over the press today (here for one, and typically I can't find a link to the Herald/Argus piece written by Leahy in today's paper without engaging in a major research project. Gawd, those are the most user-unfriendly websites…). You gotta wonder, if he runs in '10, if anybody will bother to waste the time running against him?

FLAME INVITATION: It's the 50th anniversary of Kerouac's On The Road. For the record, I couldn't care less. Always struck me as badly written, self-important misogyny chic. Now go ahead – sock it to me in the comments…

Understanding the Southern White Voter; Coming to Terms With the Southern White Politician

Jack’s comment on the thread down a ways returned me to a subject Ive spent a lot of time thinking about. It’s probably not really appropriate for a Vermont blog, but for now, it’s the only blog I really have access to, so I’m gonna go for it. The comment, in regards to John Edwards, was:

I agree with everything Edwards says, or close enough. Still, there's something about the way he presents himself. Remember when Carter was running for president and the caricature was of this guy in overalls with a gigantic smile? All through this video there were these flickers of a smile that put me off. I guess it's kind of like I thought in 2004: he seems a bit too shiny to appeal to people.

Whether he was aware when he wrote it or not, I believe Jack’s comment has cross-cultural overtones. The psychology of the South is complicated and doesn’t fit easily into soundbites.  But it useful – even important – to understand it, given the impact the south has on our nation’s politics.

Clichéd as it sounds, reading some Faulkner can give you a basis on which to build on, but it hardly gives you a picture of the modern-day south (and when I'm speaking of the south – I'm speaking of the one I grew up in culturally, which is the white south). Still, the last line of Absalom, Absalom provides some extraordinary insight, and I wish I could find the exact quote. After regaling his northern college roommate with the tales of his family and background, the focal character is told by his roommate that he understands him now – that he (the focal character) actually despises the south. The focal character, a seemingly proud southerner, is thunderstruck by this, and the book ends with him almost sputtering in response, insisting that no – he doesn’t hate the south… he really doesn’t.

(Now I really hope I’m not totally misremembering  that… it has been a while)

As is often the case with individuals, a seemingly overabundance of pride can often be the flip side of an inferiority complex, and the resulting bipolar dichotomy that presents only causes more deep-seeded problems. Such is the case with the collective psyche of the South. It really wasn’t that long ago that Southerners lost a war for independence, and then had it piled on through what amounted to a corrupt occupation of “carpetbaggers” by the victorious force. This perceived colonization, the resultant corruption and the economic collapse of the post-plantation era (while the industrial north grew) fed the  action-reaction dynamic which created the Klan in much the same way we see terrorism spring from Arab communities who feel a comparable dynamic in their own countries.

But that’s only the beginning. The Klan was (and is) a moral evil – and it was a southern moral evil. One that seduced people throughout southern civic infrastructures. Coming to terms with that moral evil that was a product of their own culture was (and is) no easy task. Anger, rejection, denial all come with that – but in acceptence, there is also shame, and that shame feeds that original dysfunctional dynamic of the superiority/inferiority dichotomy. In confronting the ugly racist in their midst and in themselves (during the original Klan era, and again in the civil rights era), southerners made a liberational step forward, but in some ways deepened the collective neurosis that led to the Klan to begin with.

This is why southerners often seem to collectively vote against their own self-interest. There is extraordinary poverty and corporate corruption in the south, but southerners continue to promote the worst sort of politicians into positions of power. The state of the southern consciousness, with all this baggage, is both more susceptible to the suggestions that “the other” is to blame (and subconsciously, that they don’t need to feel the shame or guilt they’re not sure how to manage) – even though “the other” (be they blacks, Jews, gays, Catholics, etc) are generally every bit the victims they are – usually more so, as that vulnerability makes them appealing targets.

Putting these political kleptocrats into power deepens the problem further by making the conditions on the ground worse due to GOP neglect, but also by perpetuating the insidious laissez-faire mantra that if you’re poor, it’s your own fault. That you’re lazy and no good, unworthy of help, and if you weren’t you’d obviously be rich already. The need to offset this piling on to the pre-existing inferiority dynamic is profound, and it drives substance abuse, domestic violence – you name it.

It also accounts for much of the appeal of evangelical Protestantism in the area. Evangelicalism not only gives you a higher purpose and the promise of reward, as all religions do, it gives you the “born again” dynamic of re-inventing yourself. It is the 12 step program all rolled up into one passionate experience, and comes bundled with a community of like-minded people. Still, such catharsis therapy is a quick fix, and the problem remains, but now – not only do the opportunities for blaming others remain (especially given the monochromatic character and anti-gay rhetoric of evangelical churches), there is also an opportunity to externalize that self-loathing by dumping onto the backs of those who have not been “born again” as you and your new community have been.

It’s all very, very ugly to look at from within , as well as from without, as – like the history of the Middle East – it forces non-southerners to confront the historical and interpersonal role they’ve played in perpetuating this unsustainable and destructive situation. And there’s no easy fix. Economic equality, education, pro-active social programs, and individuals both inside and outside the south moving outside their comfort zone to look at themselves and interact respectfully with each other as individuals is the only way out. It’s a frustrating way that takes generations upon generations.

As a side effect, southern activists are often the last people who can tell you how to appeal to “the southern voter.” Southern progressives (and there are many) have that inferiority complex hardwired too, and as a result, feel the need to set themselves apart from their fellow southerners by dumping some of the trappings, almost pleading to their northern counterparts that they’re just like them, and passing that advice along to politicians from other regions. I remember asking Howard Dean when he was just starting his presidential campaign what he was doing to reach southern voters, and he responded that he didn’t need to do anything special, because southerners were just like everybody else and responded to the same things. I have no doubt that he received that advice from supportive southern progressives who find it downright therapeutic to believe.

So how does this apply to southern politicians and their “veneers?”

There’s another side effect of the inferiority/superiority bipolarity dynamic – one that takes longer but increases steadily – depression. With low-grade depression comes apathy and a sense of futility.

With that in mind, take a look at the voter turnout rates across the country and you’ll find the lowest turnout is in the south. Sometimes the difference is quite dramatic.

Many have, at some level, given up. They expect nothing from their candidates, who they long ago concluded were all crooks – but in a deeper and more profound way than people in other parts of the country have come to believe that. To large extent, a candidate can win an election, just by getting people’s attention. When I was a young Kentuckian, millionaire Democrat Wallace Wilkinson defied political logic by winning the Governor’s race in what was essentially a vanity campaign – simply because he said he would institute a lottery. This got enough people’s attention that he squeezed out a few more votes, took the primary, and then the state. What were his other stances? Who knew? Who cared? Because they’re all a bunch of crooks.

It’s this dynamic of rock-bottom expectations that has encouraged a culture of crappy acting from politicians. They’re terrible at sounding sincere, but nobody expects them to be sincere, so they get elected – and they then decide that it was because they fooled people into thinking they’re sincere. Politicians learn from successful politicians, and before you know it – everybody’s got the saccharine smile and cheesy veneer.

Now Bill Clinton got people’s attention because he was actually good. He actually seemed sincere, and many in the south had never seen a politician who felt as though he wasn’t simply going through the motions.

John Edwards too, I believe is sincere, but he has two things working against him in regards to his presentation: one, he is not as talented a presenter as Bill Clinton, which wouldn’t be a problem were it not for number two – that he comes from a political tradition that says you HAVE to put on the smile. You HAVE to do the cheesy grin. If you don’t, you’re going to lose.

Now I actually think Edwards isn’t so bad at it, but I suspect I’m viewing him through a hardwired, southern cultural lens that you Yankees aren’t. One thing I will say is that others are far worse – and I think his superior performance to many of his southern political peers is due to sincerity, rather than acting skills. That’s not to say that I think he’s a saint, but neither do I think he’s making up these opinions wholecloth.

Anyway, my point is that with a southern, white politician, you’re going to get the “veneer.” For the moment, it’s a hardwired cultural mannerism that may look odd or distatsteful from up here, but it comes with the package – at least for now.

Hopefully not too much longer, though, because I'm pretty sick of the cheesy grin thing myself. It's time has passed… 

The Vermont Delegation Response

The following comes courtesy of the Welch press office…

Leahy said, “It seems clear that the President has no idea how to end this war and has every intention of laying it on the doorstep of the next President.  He would leave as many troops stuck on this treadmill next summer as we had there a year ago.  The surge that was supposed to usher in a political solution among Iraq’s warring factions has failed, with a settlement no closer today than it was one, two or three years ago.  Meanwhile we have become an excuse for Iraq to avoid reaching a settlement.  We have been in Iraq longer than we were in World War II.  It’s time to begin bringing our brave troops home from the middle of Iraq’s civil war.”

Sanders said, “President Bush misled us into this war 4 1/2 years ago, and he is still misleading us.  Bush’s ‘troop withdrawal’ program will leave us with as many troops in Iraq as we had before the ‘surge’ troop buildup — about 130,000.  Even more importantly, this president has no idea as to how to end this war.  Bush’s advisors concede that this war, already longer than World War II, could go on for another five to 10 years.  This is unacceptable.  We need to bring our troops home and develop a new and more effective strategy for fighting the very serious problem of international terrorism.”

Welch said, “The President made clear tonight that there is no end in sight to the war in Iraq.  He continues to blindly pursue a failed military strategy for a civil war that demands a political and economic solution.  The American military has achieved every objective this President has given them.  They are now stretched beyond their capacity, leaving America exposed to threats elsewhere around the world.  Continuing to referee a civil war with no end in sight is unacceptable to our military, unacceptable to the American taxpayer, and unacceptable for America’s national security.  President Bush has no strategy in Iraq other than running out the clock on his presidency, knowing that this war will soon be another President’s burden.  It is imperative that Congress finally use the power of the purse to end this war and bring our troops home.”

Douglas Already Cashing in on Gay Marriage (and Playing With Fire)

This should come as no surprise, but the Governor wasted no time using the desire of many Vermonters for equal rights under the law (and the modest step of having a commission travel the state and take public feedback) to fire up a little resentment and cash. From a fundraising letter a few weeks back:

 

Again, its hardly a shocker, but it may prove more dangerous than he thinks, given that early signs suggest that Vermonters are more tolerant of the prospect than many suspected. Rather than grabbing the everyman position, Douglas could find himself looking like the candidate of the religious right if he gets too enthusiastic on this – which would have the added effect of bridging the gap for many swing voters between him and the national Republicans. (To see the whole letter, click here)