A quick trip by the SoS office after work, and I’ve got my reading for the evening. Clearly, there’ll be a need to dig in with a fine toothed comb (as will the many other media types – legacy and new – who were on hand), but I know folks are hoping to get some of the basics ASAP, so here we go.
Markowitz is reporting a total of $190,736.83. With $5745 of that as in-kind contributions, and reported expenditures of $56,356.31 listed, that leaves a cash on hand amount of $128,635.52. Her amounts include a rollover from her Secretary of State campaign account of $17,175.83.
Racine is reporting a total of $102,415.69. With $2663.24 of that in-kind, and expenditures of $19,553.35, that leaves a cash on hand amount of $80,199.10. $844.45 was rolled over from his Senate account.
This means that, in terms of money in hand, Markowitz exceeds Racine by a surprisingly low (relative to expectations) $48,436.42. Good news for Racine, and it means this race is already more competitive than expected.
On the other hand, Racine’s (under $100) contributions come from 314 givers, while Markowitz reports 742. At this point, its the game of lists that in the long run is more important than early cash on hand in a competitive race (which this clearly is). Those contributors can be returned to later, as Markowitz has more names, with a lower average contribution amount, meaning they overall have more to give than Racine’s contributors do at this point. The difference is meaningful.
As far as Douglas goes, he is reporting a bottom line of $104,565.68 – $91,203 of which comes from this reporting period. That’s right – both Markowitz and Racine outraised him in this reporting period. He also reports a whopping $55,675.24 in expenditures, and with no in-kind contributions, that leaves him with $48,890.44 – far less than either Racine or Markowitz.
That’s huge, and marks a sea change that could swamp Douglas. The good news for him is that he’s reporting a whopping 840 small dollar contributors, so that bottom line cash number will grow – but it’s still not good news for the Republican Governor, as far as the inevitability narrative – which has been his most powerful campaign weapon – goes.
Susan Bartlett did not report any fundraising (although there is a $12,009.65 Senate campaign carryover listed, as well as $300 to open an account for an eventual gubernatorial campaign).
As far as Lieutenant Governor goes, nobody filed for that office per se. Flanagan filed for his Senate campaign (and funds can be rolled over from one to the other), but I seem to have already lost my copy on the walk home. If it pops up again, I’ll write up the details.
More interesting is the lack of a filing by House Majority Leader Floyd Nease, who has been openly discussing his interest in the Lite Gov office – even making moves towards formalizing a campaign. Word on the street is that Nease, while not closing the door on a run, is reconsidering in light of competing personal responsibilities and may now be leaning towards staying where he is. While anything can still happen, moving strongly one direction, then leaning back the other way during such an already-lively jockeying for position phase makes it far more likely that he won’t run, given the laws of electoral momentum and inertia.
Anyway, lots to read. I also got my new comics in today, so I’m terrifically conflicted as to what to pick up next. Sure, I wanna know what names of note are supporting which candidate… but on the other hand, Captain America is coming back from the dead this month. Decisions, decisions…