Mayor Mary Hooper is widely understood to be intending to challenge gubernatorial appointee Jon Anderson for his seat in the State Legislature. Before this reappraisal, she was a virtual shoo-in for the seat, having trounced the largely unpopular Anderson in the mayor's race. But the fact is, although voters' memories are notoriously short-term, if there is one thing that they will hold active grudges about, its a bureaucratic clusterfuck that bumps up their taxes into the stratosphere - especially when that increase fills a hole left by commercial and corporate tax relief. Fair or no, this issue will be more than just an albatross around Hooper's neck, it'll be a pterodactyl. And Anderson is already making moves to keep the seat he has so badly wanted. Anderson, whose right-wing ideology is underscored by his strong support from not simply the Governor, but from conservative statehouse interests such as developer lobbyist (and GMD concern troll "Pizzaman") Tayt Brooks, has been trying very hard to reinvent himself as a Montpelier leftist, broadly trumpeting his votes on impeachment and global warming legislation (and hoping folks will forget his support of a gubernatorial veto and alliance with the GOP and Vermont Right-to-life on campaign finance). He already has a campaign website up, (with a Dean-esque title, of course) prominently featuring the name of Treasurer (and Hooper predecessor as Mayor), Chuck Karparis. By moving to the left, Anderson is also hoping city Democrats will forget how he undermined their caucus and used his personal pull with the Governor to get the legislative appointment. And he should not be underestimated, given that he has shown no qualms about using some behind the scenes political intimidation to quiet critics. But Montpelier Democrats may be in trouble if they count on Hooper to deliver them if things don't change. Of the other two potential appointees originally nominated by the caucus, one is likely not to be up for a bruising, "from scratch" primary slugfest. The other - activist Matt Levin - certainly has the skills and the energy to defeat Anderson, but it's unclear whether he remains interested. In any event, if Montpelier Dems leave Anderson unchallenged, the Progressive Party will undoubtedly see their best chance ever to take the Montpelier seat they have coveted. Montpelier's Progressives have generally not fared well electorally, but a run against a conservative D who has dissed the activist wing of his own Party and is associated with corporate interests (not to mention the Governor) is not an opportunity they will let pass. Hooper could still make it work, though. The asessment process is so flawed and - by accident rather than design - so stacked against homeowners, it seems that the only just solution is to scrap it completely and start again from scratch with a more actively inclusive process with a fully, loudly vetted discussion on any changes in appraisal methodologies (especially if they are to the detriment of individual homeowners). Short of that, Montpelier Dems would do well to start candidate shopping. |